book / likes
A History of British Art
“I’m a big fan of your book, A History of British Art. In that, you insightfully remark that a lot of English art earlier on was harder, more angular, and less obsessed with perspective.”
Public evidence record
Published podcast speaker
Books, apps, and tools
book / likes
“I’m a big fan of your book, A History of British Art. In that, you insightfully remark that a lot of English art earlier on was harder, more angular, and less obsessed with perspective.”
book / likes
“Again, I’m a big fan of your new book with Greif and Tabellini, Two Paths to Prosperity, comparing Europe and China.”
other / likes
“What are your favorite movies and why? I love Bergman films, Smiles of a Summer Night.”
other / likes
“I like Smiles of a Summer Night very much, the Mozartian feel, the Shakespeare connection.”
other / likes
“I like Silent All These Years by Tori Amos, especially the live version.”
book / recommends
“He has a new book out, Lower than the Angels: A History of Sex and Christianity, which I recommend very highly.”
app / uses
“If I use GPT-5 Pro edition, it will outperform a very good human lawyer for a typical query.”
app / likes
“Now, I love Pulse. Why don’t I hear more about Pulse, or do you think there is a lot of chatter out there?”
book / uses
“If we take England — when I read your book, A Farewell to Alms, I took you to be ambiguous, but when I reread that book through the lens of your later papers, it seems to me you’re saying there was an actual genetic change in English society because of who was marrying whom and having kids with whom, and thus, people saved more, became more conscientious, more forward-looking.”
book / built
“The last book I wrote is called Goat: Who's the Greatest Economist of All Time?”
person / likes
“I like the Christopher Kirchhoff episode and how he never said the word “um.” You might edit out an “um” here and there.”
other / likes
“I love Brazil, it’s one of my favorite countries, but I always worry about where I should and should not go there.”
Claim ledger
47 transcript-backed records
01 / uncertainty
“I’m not sure that’s true because it seems there’s a lot of countries that when people get to something like $28,000 per capita income that they just turn much greener, and they clean up their air.”
02 / uncertainty
“Now, I often hear pieces, and I don’t know if it came out yesterday or 20 years ago.”
03 / uncertainty
“I don’t know how true it is, but that many East Germans still today are somewhat resentful or upset because they feel pushed out of leadership positions in business, in culture, in media, often in politics.”
04 / uncertainty
“I think for now, we don’t know how to regulate it, and it’s changing more quickly than Congress can act intelligently.”
05 / uncertainty
“I would guess it’s, I don’t know, 20, 25 minutes outside of the main city, so it’s easy to get there.”
06 / uncertainty
“I see so many years where they grow 1 percent or maybe zero, or you’re not sure because someone’s fudging the numbers.”
07 / uncertainty
“To go off and do anything you want with literature, with art, with travel, with music, climbing the Alps, I don’t know.”
08 / uncertainty
“People don’t listen to it anymore. I don’t know why. It’s just fun. It’s super accessible, and it also feels and sounds different.”
09 / uncertainty
“Good movie, but I don’t know. It feels like a tired theme by now. There’s plenty of movies about drug gangs and the like.”
10 / uncertainty
“Other than repeating the point that they ought to do that, I don’t know what else to say.”
11 / uncertainty
“A world where, say, people who have problems with paralysis can do very useful things through Neuralink, that’s not distant. The rest, I don’t know.”
12 / uncertainty
“I’m going to just wait till I feel they’re a bit settled with that. I don’t know how long that should be, and we’ll try again.”
13 / uncertainty
“Isn’t uncontrollable laughter in some ways a kind of displeasure? I don’t know, since I’ve never had it.”
14 / uncertainty
“I don’t know. Be a political scientist for a moment. As you well know, it was commonly predicted here in the 1990s, for instance, that China would become democratic just as Taiwan had done.”
15 / uncertainty
“Fairfax County is not a real city. Richmond, I don’t know, is a few hundred thousand people.”
16 / uncertainty
“I don’t know Musk, but I’ve thought for a while that his desire to settle Mars is perhaps a uniquely South African impulse, the notion that people need somewhere they can escape to.”
17 / uncertainty
“In Jeddah, is the food more, I don’t know, Red Sea, more Ethiopian, more Yemeni.”
18 / uncertainty
“Maybe they’re afraid if they liberalize, it will collapse into some kind of chaos, or they don’t want to be the next Lebanon or the next Syria. I don’t know.”
19 / uncertainty
“Small towns of — I don’t know — 40,000 people with fully walkable city squares, perfect weather, amazing food, and prices were maybe one-third of US prices with a much higher standard of living.”
20 / uncertainty
“I don’t know if understand is the word. I enjoyed it. I felt inspired. I shared it with other people who were there.”
21 / uncertainty
“I don’t know exactly how many years ago it was, but it’s quite focal and seminal.”
22 / uncertainty
“If so much of labor and capital is going to be revalued, is quality land the best investment? Because I don’t know which firms will benefit the most.”
23 / uncertainty
“With classical chess, not every game, but most games, I feel I can look at the board and have a decent idea of what’s going on. I might be wrong, but even then, I can figure out ex post why I was wrong.”
24 / uncertainty
“I’m genuinely asking various people. I asked Austan Goolsbee the same question because I don’t know.”
25 / uncertainty
“We’re going to see a very radical shaking out that will go fully unadvertised, but at the end of it all, geopolitics will be very different. I don’t know that France can build an AI good enough, actually.”
26 / uncertainty
“Today, it’s a fully developed country. I don’t know what happened there, but I know it’s not a big genetic change.”
27 / uncertainty
“Something is recorded in data sensors and confirmed across multiple sensors. Maybe I don’t know what it is, but I’ll believe there’s something there.”
28 / uncertainty
“We don’t know what’s on them, but it’s certainly more likely than if we were not discovering any such planets, so we should be raising our probability.”
29 / uncertainty
“We don't know. But I think you can become much better at figuring out the other 75%, partly just with practice.”
30 / uncertainty
“His real great achievement, I don't know how old he was exactly, but it's quite late in his life.”
31 / uncertainty
“Ones like North by Northwest, To Catch a Thief I think of as light and frothy, but I don’t know.”
32 / uncertainty
“I don’t know which one I meant, but again, I’ve never regretted seeing a single Godzilla movie in my entire life.”
33 / uncertainty
“Kyla Scanlon? I don’t know. After that, it’s hard for me to say. Nate Silver, I guess, would be my guess.”
34 / uncertainty
“I don’t know Russia well, but some part of me feels that the Soviet Union and America had more in common in the 1930s than they ever had before or have had since.”
35 / uncertainty
“Plants are intelligent, and here’s how geology works and okay, I’ve checked all my boxes. I don’t know.”
36 / uncertainty
“I don’t know about have to. I have friends who are utopian geothermalists. I don’t feel I can evaluate that.”
37 / uncertainty
“We’re recording a day after the Iranian helicopter crash, and we don’t know what happened. It might have just been a helicopter crash because of bad weather and fog, but surely you have clients calling you, messaging you, pinging you, wanting to know what’s going on.”
38 / uncertainty
“The notion that we don’t know anything about heaven — it also means you can’t really be spiritual.”
39 / uncertainty
“I visited Anthropic and OpenAI. A lot of the people there were extremely young; I don’t know exact birth dates.”
40 / uncertainty
“For some reason, currency holdings aren’t large enough, there’s some kind of financial repression, I don’t know, but it’s very hard to explain why some of these countries, but not others, go crazy with the printing press.”
41 / uncertainty
“I don’t know how many publicly traded firms there were in Britain at that time. I don’t know how good the data are.”
42 / uncertainty
“There’s probably something to them, but how much of that trend do they actually explain as a percent of the variance? I don’t know.”
43 / uncertainty
“I suspect the one with Jonathan GPT Swift was either the most or the least listened to, but I don’t know which.”
44 / uncertainty
“The Z one — I don’t know if watching it would hold up well, but part of it is this story about killers scaling a fence, and we should rewatch it and see.”
45 / uncertainty
“There’s a debate in one of the episodes of Free to Choose where Peter Jay, who is British, takes on Milton Friedman. I don’t know if you remember this.”
46 / uncertainty
“Now, I don’t know if it’s the same here. But I go to these meals, and Westerners, they feed me everything but ugali.”
47 / uncertainty
“Psychologists have speculated it was an actual psychological syndrome of some kind, but of course, we don’t know.”