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Conversations with Tyler / episode intelligence

Conversations with Tyler 2024 Retrospective

25 Dec 2024 32 published claims 2 attributable people

Speakers in the public record

Claim mix

belief 15evaluation 5recommendation 3uncertainty 3preference 3prediction 2commitment 1

Evidence policy

Every row below preserves an exact excerpt. Identified speakers are linked; unresolved voices are labeled and excluded from people counts.

Claim ledger

The useful parts, with receipts.

32 published records

05 / belief

We’ve got Tooze and Kotkin on there. Tooze was on, I think, in 2020. Other books that you mentioned — there are probably maybe 30 books listed here, but we have Piketty.

“We’ve got Tooze and Kotkin on there. Tooze was on, I think, in 2020. Other books that you mentioned — there are probably maybe 30 books listed here, but we have Piketty.”
Speaker
Jeff Holmes
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

06 / belief

Someone said on Twitter recently that — it was Joe Lonsdale — “There’s no limit to what you can achieve if you’re willing not to get much credit for it.” I think that should be our attitude.

“Someone said on Twitter recently that — it was Joe Lonsdale — “There’s no limit to what you can achieve if you’re willing not to get much credit for it.” I think that should be our attitude.”
Speaker
Tyler Cowen
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

08 / belief

” You’ve had a number of posts where you say that the idea that people — I think, correct me if I’m wrong, but the way I would summarize you is, you think it’s without evidence, installing bike lanes and these things — that the ROI is not there to you.

“” You’ve had a number of posts where you say that the idea that people — I think, correct me if I’m wrong, but the way I would summarize you is, you think it’s without evidence, installing bike lanes and these things — that the ROI is not there to you.”
Speaker
Jeff Holmes
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

10 / belief

I sent out an email to our newsletter about this, and I think you have to say it’s a little predictable. It only gets maybe a little eclectic towards the end, but this was very much fan service, I think, these top five.

“I sent out an email to our newsletter about this, and I think you have to say it’s a little predictable. It only gets maybe a little eclectic towards the end, but this was very much fan service, I think, these top five.”
Speaker
Jeff Holmes
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

11 / belief

We’ve made bets on them. But if you just ask me what I think, I do think there’s an upper limit that is more or less at where the oldest living people live to today, which is about 110 perhaps.

“We’ve made bets on them. But if you just ask me what I think, I do think there’s an upper limit that is more or less at where the oldest living people live to today, which is about 110 perhaps.”
Speaker
Tyler Cowen
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

25 / preference

If you send me one that is serious in taking all the costs into account, including the cost of the land, I will read it and indeed review it. But some kind of partial, “Oh, here’s a few people who are better off because we put bike lanes in,” I’ll look at it, but no, I’m not going to review that.

“If you send me one that is serious in taking all the costs into account, including the cost of the land, I will read it and indeed review it. But some kind of partial, “Oh, here’s a few people who are better off because we put bike lanes in,” I’ll look at it, but no, I’m not going to review that.”
Speaker
Tyler Cowen
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

26 / evaluation

He does not have enough money to complete his house, which is a big problem for him. They’re back on their feet, but it’s very tough, and tourist demand for the business he wanted to create has not materialized because of the war.

“He does not have enough money to complete his house, which is a big problem for him. They’re back on their feet, but it’s very tough, and tourist demand for the business he wanted to create has not materialized because of the war.”
Speaker
Tyler Cowen
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

27 / evaluation

Implicitly, it’s the people we don’t ask, because we don’t have an in with them or we don’t know how to reach them, that would raise that failure rate higher.

“Implicitly, it’s the people we don’t ask, because we don’t have an in with them or we don’t know how to reach them, that would raise that failure rate higher.”
Speaker
Jeff Holmes
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

31 / prediction

The predictions I made in my book Average Is Over, that AI would be the next big thing and it would all be about how well can you work with AI — that’s done very, very well.

“The predictions I made in my book Average Is Over, that AI would be the next big thing and it would all be about how well can you work with AI — that’s done very, very well.”
Speaker
Tyler Cowen
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler
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