Speakers in the public record
Claim mix
belief 30evaluation 5prediction 5uncertainty 3commitment 1recommendation 1preference 1
Evidence policy
Every row below preserves an exact excerpt. Identified speakers are linked; unresolved voices are labeled and excluded from people counts.
Claim ledger
The useful parts, with receipts.
46 published records
“I think a few years ago, it was encountering quite strong obstacles in the law itself because lawyers tended to like being able to charge very high prices and had a dislike of things that could bid them down.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think within those, you get certain high-status, high-skill parts, where people want to use a certain tradesman, not just because of their skill but because of their notoriety and sometimes an aesthetic quality.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“” I think there’s going to be a recognition — and we see this today — that there are other skills needed, but the problems that those skills are needed for are often problems which have proved to be impossible for humans to adequately solve for thousands of years.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“People want to do commerce with other people, so I think that there’ll be certain relationships which get mediated by people, and people will have a strong preference, probably, for deals that they make on behalf of their larger pools of capital, where the deals are done by human proxies for large automated organizations or pools of capital.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think you’d also ask them what is mysterious to them about their world, besides the fact you’re talking to them, which hopefully they’d find somewhat surprising.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think that’s a very positive vision, and I also think that it’s something that it would be obvious to everyone, including people in the CCP today.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think we already see this today with start-ups that are emerging but have very small numbers of employees relative to what they used to have because they have lots of coding agents working for them.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I worry that we are going to be bystanders to what in the future will seem like a great crime, which is something about these things being determined to be conscious and us taking actions which you think are bad to have taken against conscious entities.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think that there might be countries that choose how fully to alter themselves or life around this technology.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think there’ll be some form of trade with powerful AI systems or agents that work on people’s behalf, and you may want to trade with them a form of compute because agents may be able to use compute for themselves as well.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think that over time, most countries have been integrated into this global capital system, partly through strong incentives, and they may have preferences that are different, but it hasn’t often held.”
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- Conversations with Tyler
“Also, if you have a load of post-industrial areas where you provision loads of power that is no longer being used, try to see if you can allocate that for compute. I think thinking about the economics of this is important.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think, therefore, there are technologies to be built that look like the safety equivalents that we have in cars or other things, which will change the logic of competition.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I was thinking you might say the United States government, or some parts of it, would be where strong AI would come last. I think that would be my forecast.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think you buy components that go into things like gas turbines and other things which are the base of the technology tree for generating electricity, of which you know people are going to want to do lots of.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I found that the only way to break through is to take their domain and show them what AI can do directly in the domain, which they can evaluate it within, which is an expensive process.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think people will preferentially select the media which is fronted by other people, even if they’re making it using other means.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think that electricity and the production of electricity is going to be of tremendous value.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“Maybe my pushback is, I think that all of this could happen sufficiently quickly that we might have the opportunity to just play different higher-status games that are afforded to us via AI and the productive capacity it unlocks.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I suspect that humanities majors might rise in status while being given impossible problems.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think some real news comes from analysis of publicly available facts, and it being composed together in a way that shows you insights that didn’t exist.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“” I think you start from the most ambitious possible goal, which is it being available to every single person, and you work back from that.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think there is a chance of something that looks like a nonproliferation agreement between states, including the US and China in the limit.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think there’s also a chance they just try to shut the whole thing down as they gave up on an AV much earlier in their history in China.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think my bear case on all of this is 3 percent, and my bull case is something like 5 percent.”
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- Conversations with Tyler
“I think governments will have some role of making sure that things reflect the normative preferences of their populations, which are going to continue to be varied, although perhaps AI means a certain homogenization takes place over time, but a lot of the role of government, I think, has always been to represent and encode the revealed values of a certain population.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“If you just wanted to keep someone alive literally, perhaps 130, but for them to be the same person, I think I’m stuck at 100 for most people.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think there is a high chance for a political movement to arrive which tries to freeze a load of human jobs in bureaucratic amber as a way to deal with the political issues posed by this incredibly powerful technology and how fast the changes are going to come from.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I expect we enter a world where you have a single digit number of these very, very large-scale models which are servicing a much larger set of wrappers on top of them that change the form factor by which they get integrated into your life, and which have a load of helper functions or knowledge, probably built by those AIs in partnership with some kind of other specialized AI system, or expert knowledge from that domain to chain it in.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“Then, I think, there’s also going to be universe world for certain universes which are very large and rich, which are being extended by AI systems.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think that maybe it’s more that the challenge of policy is, you are building a bureaucracy for an alien that arrives at some point in the future that you don’t know the shape of and which may, upon the moment of its arrival, be far smarter and more capable than you.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think if that became the case, you would have a higher chance of tying it to actual policy responses that would be larger in scope.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I don’t know if it’s all cities, but I think any city which has something like a specialism — like high-frequency trading in Chicago or certain types of finance in New York — will continue to see some dividend from sets of professionals that gather together in dense quantities to swap ideas.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I met my wife on OkCupid. I don’t know if you recall this. It was an online dating site where you would fill out a survey.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think that on this, there are certain types of desk-bound work that just require talking to other people and getting to alignment or agreement.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“If so much of labor and capital is going to be revalued, is quality land the best investment? Because I don’t know which firms will benefit the most.”
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- Conversations with Tyler
“I think that’s the part where you have them spend more time with their friends, but you keep the bunny in their life because the bunny is just going to get smarter and be more around them as they grow up.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“Some people feel optimistic about stuff like IAEA-style models for this, but I think things that require mutual inspection regimes end up being very, very hard to do under certain rivalrous dynamics.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I grew up as a professional during the period when online ad market changes were altering the business model of journalism. They were switching from what you might think of as value that you derive through quality, through subscriptions or people buying your stuff to value that you derive from just large-scale attention because that became a lot of the model for funding this stuff.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“If you can just ration how much your kid has the bunny, parents are going to love it, I agree.”
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- Conversations with Tyler
“We don’t recommend it because we’re worried about all of the liability issues this contains, but I know through my revealed preference that I’m always going to want to use that, but I can’t take that Claude assessment and give it to Kaiser Permanente.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“If you just stopped all of it today, all further progress, I think the coding use case alone is going to be incredibly useful because it grows the ability to digitize parts of the economy, which we know drives faster loops in different parts of the economy, but generates value.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“The reason that my numbers are more conservative is, I think that we will enter into a world where there will be an incredibly fast-moving, high-growth part of the economy, but it is a relatively small part of the economy.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think that there is some giant class of activity that we want to continue happening in the world that people do and from which they draw meaning, but I don’t know that the best way to get there is to take some class of work and say this is work that we’re protecting and from which meaning will spring.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I feel like people who worked on AI for many years and are now in their 60s might be feeling very shortchanged because they’re like, “I love this technology.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“People will purchase certain things because of the taste of the person, even if that taste looks like certain types of modern art production, where the artist actually backs onto thousands of people that work for them, and they’re more orchestrating it.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler