High Signal Podcasts Evidence ledger
Method
Browse
← Back to evidence

Evidence receipt / uncertainty

Published · transcript-backed

Tyler Cowen: uncertainty

9 Jan 2025 Dwarkesh Podcast Tyler Cowen — The #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans

“We don't know. But I think you can become much better at figuring out the other 75%, partly just with practice.”

— Tyler Cowen

Source trail

Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Tyler Cowen
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
uncertainty
Recorded
9 Jan 2025
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

Transcript context

…And what's going on with the 75%? We don't know. But I think you can become much better at figuring out the other 75%, partly just with practice. Yesterday Patrick was talking about these concentrations of talent that he sees in the history of science, with these labs that have six or seven Nobel Prizes. He was also talking about the second employee at Stripe, Greg Brockman, who wasn't visible to other parts of the startup ecosystem in the same way. What's your theory of what's going on? Why are these clusters so limited? What's actually being inherited and transmitted here?…

Stored transcript either side of the excerpt. The highlighted words are the published quote; the surrounding text is unedited source, never generated.

Search evidence