Speakers in the public record
Claim mix
belief 26evaluation 6uncertainty 6observation 4prediction 4commitment 2preference 1recommendation 1
Evidence policy
Every row below preserves an exact excerpt. Identified speakers are linked; unresolved voices are labeled and excluded from people counts.
Claim ledger
The useful parts, with receipts.
50 published records
“You can drill down to a level further. It’s the vanes and blades in the turbines that are the limiting factor because it’s a very specialized process to cast the blades and vanes in the turbines, assuming you’re using gas power.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“There’s some value to sun-synchronous, but I think actually, if you just go high enough, you start getting out of Earth’s shadow.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I found that book much better than his other one that everyone reads, Stranger in a Strange Land.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I think the TeraFab’s got to do memory. It’s got to do logic, memory, and packaging.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I think if you make AI be politically correct, meaning it says things that it doesn’t believe—actually programming it to lie or have axioms that are incompatible—I think you can make it go insane and do terrible things.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I think arguably most consciousness, or most intelligence—certainly consciousness is more of a debatable thing… The vast majority of intelligence in the future will be AI.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I think you can get to around a terawatt a year of AI in space before you start having fuel supply challenges for the rocket.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I don’t know anyone who runs a company, or at least a manufacturing company, that goes with the level of detail that I go into.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“You’ll be able to see its construction progress on X in real time. Look, I don’t know, we could just flounder in failure, to be fair.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“Based on your statements about Tesla and being public, I wouldn’t have guessed that you thought the way to move fast is to be public.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I think you’ve said that we’ve got to get to Mars so we can make sure that if something happens to Earth, civilization, consciousness, and all that survives.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“The ideas travel back and forth with the people. So I think you sort of hit the hardware wall and then whichever company can scale hardware the fastest will be the leader.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I think I know the path to do this because it’s kind of the same path that Tesla used to create self-driving.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“The ASML ban has been in place for a while. But I think China’s going to be making pretty compelling chips in three or four years.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“In order to bring enough power online, I think SpaceX and Tesla will probably have to make the turbine blades, the vanes and blades, internally.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“” The point is, you’ve got to build the fab and you’ve got to start production, then you’ve got to climb the yield curve and reach volume production at high yield.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I think maybe the biggest danger of AI and robotics going wrong is government. People who are opposed to corporations or worried about corporations should really worry the most about government.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I think maybe just what they’re trying to say is that you don’t have to have prior experience in the rocket industry to work on Starship.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“For video, you’ve got to do a tremendous amount of compression and you’ve got to do the compression just right. You’ve got to ignore the things that don’t matter.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“Maybe, but we found that over seven years, the Social Security fraud they estimated was like $70 billion over seven years, so like $10 billion a year.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“As a broader objective of having this full digital coworker emulator, you’re saying, “all the revenue maximizing corporations want to do this, xAI being one of them, but we will win because of a secret plan we have.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“You can’t have understanding without intelligence and, I think, without consciousness. So in order to understand the universe, you have to expand the scale and probably the scope of intelligence, because there are different types of intelligence.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I think you would start off with simple tasks that you can count on them doing well.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“In fact, I think the GAO did an analysis, a rough estimate of fraud during the Biden administration, and calculated it at roughly half a trillion dollars.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I don’t know about all governments. It’s difficult to predict. I can say what’s the endpoint, or what is many years in the future, but it’s difficult to predict the path along that way.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“Exactly. So I think we’ll find we’re in the singularity and it’ll be like, “Okay, we’ve still got a long way to go.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“The problem is that we were trying to make this enormous rocket out of carbon fiber and our progress was extremely slow.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“Whereas actually, I think when you look at it, Tesla’s had a very consistent and internally promoted executive bench over the past few years.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“The point is, in retrospect, we should have started with steel in the beginning.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“When you put it that way… I think the way that Tesla solved self-driving is the way to do it.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I think you pretty much do it the same way that you do things on Earth, apart from making it run hotter.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“You can’t equivalently deploy Optimuses that don’t work and then get the data that way.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I don’t know how to build a fab yet. I’ll figure it out. Obviously, I’ve never built a fab.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“” Just write out a policy. I think you tweeted recently that Grok should have a moral constitution.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I believe so. I believe that File Transfer Protocol is the... But I could be wrong.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“However, if AI can simply take whatever is given to the outsourced customer service company that they already use and do customer service using the apps that they already use, then you can make tremendous headway in customer service, which is, I think, 1% of the world economy or something like that.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I think actually most physicists, even in the Soviet Union or in Germany, would’ve had to be very truth-seeking in order to make those things work.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I’m not sure. Maybe it’s 10-20%, maybe more, I don’t know. We would not reduce our headcount.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I would say anything that is a limiting factor for electricity needs to be addressed, provided it’s not very bad for the environment.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“Like I said, I think towards the end of this year, chip production will probably outpace the ability to turn chips on.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“To reach a large volume in, say, 36 months, to match the rocket payload to orbit… If we’re doing a million tons to orbit in, let’s say three or four years from now, something like that… We’re doing 100 kilowatts per ton. So that means we need at least 100 gigawatts per year of solar.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“Meaning, five years from now, my prediction is we will launch and be operating every year more AI in space than the cumulative total on Earth.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“It’s critical thinking 101. I think at least trying to do that is better than not trying to do that.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“Which it is because you don’t have a day-night cycle, seasonality, clouds, or an atmosphere in space.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“Now, if it’s going to space, it costs less and it’s easier to make solar cells that go to space because they don’t need much glass.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I think anything else would be shortsighted, because obviously I’m part of humanity, so I like humans.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“Because the noobs will look at the power consumption of, say a GB300, and multiply that by a thing and then think that’s the amount of power you need.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“Now we don’t know what to do…” I’m pretty sure I know the path. It’s just a question of how quickly we go down that path, because it’s pretty much the Tesla path.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“It’s not just that there’s four times the population, but the amount of work that people put in is higher. So you can try to rearrange the humans, but you’re still one quarter of the—assuming that productivity is the same, which I think actually it might not be, I think China might have an advantage on productivity per person—we will do one quarter of the amount of things as China.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“Now, there are times when I will drill down into a specific issue because that specific issue is the limiting factor on the progress of the company.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast