Public evidence record
Published podcast speaker
Claim ledger
20 transcript-backed records
01 / belief
“I think that you'll probably still be able to come up with some things like this a year from now, but it'll be harder.”
02 / belief
“Think that I mean, there's probably some of that there to some extent, for sure. But at least my experience at OpenAI was that there was more pressure to not talk about the risks in public and to downplay that sort of thing.”
03 / belief
“At least I would say to the same extent that humans can do things without having trained on it.”
04 / belief
“I mean, would say, in some sense, arguably, we're already seeing a move away from LLMs with things like these so called reasoning agents that have access to tools and can write code and so forth. So there's going to be this continuous shift towards, I would say, rather than, like, discrete paradigm shifts, it'll be more like a continuous paradigm shift.”
05 / belief
“I agree, we're totally not on track to have figured out the alignment stuff in time.”
06 / belief
“Don't know about the second 2 the other 2, but definitely the first 1. I think that if somehow we could coordinate on that, that'd be great.”
07 / belief
“Claude plus code interpreter and things like that. And I think that that system could solve tariff and things like that because Claude might be smart enough to look up the algorithm and then implement the algorithm and then do it.”
08 / belief
“The thing that might decrease it is propaganda from the tech companies, I think.”
09 / belief
“We're working on it. I agree with the problem you're pointing out. We currently have a project to make a good ending, so to speak, at a similar level of detail to what we already have.”
10 / belief
“The extra money or… Yeah. So I think that was part of it. It’s not like we’re poor.”
11 / belief
“I agree that there have been plenty of people who’ve been more bullish than me and have been already proven wrong, but they’re not me.”
12 / belief
“I think partly it would be through figuring out that high level stuff from first principles rather than having to have experienced it.”
13 / belief
“If I may add to that. So by the government, I think what Scott meant is the executive branch, especially the White House.”
14 / belief
“If I could just double click on that; go back to 2015 and I think the way people typically thought, including myself, thought that we’d get to AGI would be kind of like the RL on video games thing that was happening.”
15 / belief
“I think that if you want a contrast, some people in the past have proposed much faster scenarios where they email some cloud lab and start building nanotech right away by just using their brains to figure out appropriate protein folding and stuff like that.”
16 / belief
“I think I’m imagining something maybe similar happening with algorithmic progress.”
17 / belief
“I think we’re substantially more likely to make things get the technical stuff right if it’s something like that.”
18 / belief
“I think what you’re saying is maybe this whole process just goes off the rails due to lack of contact with ground truth outside in the actual world, outside the data centers.”
19 / belief
“I think that if the government wades in and tries to make more specific regulations along the lines of what you mentioned, it’s very plausible that it’ll end up backfiring for reasons like what you mentioned.”
20 / belief
“Even though they have less compute, even though they have less researchers, they’re able to do fewer experiments. So yeah, I think that there are tons of examples throughout history, including recent relevant AGI history, of things in the other way.”