Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedDaniel Kokotajlo: belief
24 Jun 2025 Machine Learning Street Talk Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI (Daniel Kokotajlo, Gary Marcus, Dan Hendrycks)
“I think that you'll probably still be able to come up with some things like this a year from now, but it'll be harder.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Daniel Kokotajlo
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 24 Jun 2025
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
Transcript context
…If I make it in a slightly more generic fashion, then yes. I am sure that I will be able to come up with variations on chess, that are not orthodox variations, but maybe there's some already known. Chess actually has lots of variations or chess problems and things like that that these systems won't be able to do. I'll probably be able to come up with variations on tic tac toe. So 5 by 5 board, but you can only win on the edges. There will be tons of problems like that. They're all kind of outlier ish, but I think that a year from now, these systems will still be very vulnerable to those outliers. I think that you'll probably still be able to come up with some things like this a year from now, but it'll be harder. And then it'll be even harder the next year and so forth. Well, it should be monotonic, of course, but…
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