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Superintelligence Strategy (Dan Hendrycks)
14 Aug 2025 19 published claims 2 attributable people
Speakers in the public record
Claim mix
belief 8evaluation 7uncertainty 2prediction 2
Evidence policy
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Claim ledger
The useful parts, with receipts.
19 published records
“Mean, first of all, it was really interesting that political and demographic biases would emerge as coherent utility functions. And I I do take umbrage with this word emergence because I think in the emergence literature, there is a little bit more nuance to how machine learning people use the words.”
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
“Whereas, I think he thinks that it would be fine because its complexity is good or something like that.”
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
“Another very interesting thing in your paper because when I think about AI risk in general, we we've thought about this a little bit on the show before, is in terms of, stability and destabilization and the relationship between offense and defense.”
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
“I mean, 1 thing I was thinking about is so certainly in in enigma about them, we're looking at multistep creative reasoning. And I don't know whether, again, there was some kind of human based methodology for filtering and coming up with ideas, or maybe your frame was, I have some technical principled intuition about what the limitations of AI models are, so I'm gonna lean in in that direction.”
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
“I think just, like, here here's the probabilities, you know, roughly for people conditioned on, like, thinking that you're getting AGI by 02/1930.”
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
“I think we already have the AIs helping or influencing AI development in a recursive way of partly automating some code, helping design the chips, helping cool the power plants, helping label some of the data, doing the, you know, the constitutional AI related type of stuff.”
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
“I think you could certainly give them an under specified goal But I just don't think they could pursue that terribly coherently or, like, learn from experiments because they just have a big short term they they just have a short term memory of, like, maybe a million tokens.”
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
“The such projects would be sabotageable as well. So it's sort of I I think there's some key if you're saying, well, we'll have it just be an industry or something like that, well, then you're not gonna have good information security.”
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
“You can improve to some margin, and we don't know what that margin would be if we had, like, agentic superintelligence.”
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
“I don't like shutting down debates entirely, but I think I'd postpone I I I would postpone a lot of these sorts of post For instance, this post human stuff and and I'm just sort of flailing about and speaking somewhat imprecisely just because I haven't spent as much time thinking about this in particular.”
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
“So as as you've said, we use analogies like, electricity. And I think that's quite a good 1, because as as AI becomes enmeshed in into society, imagine how hard it would be to shut down a power station.”
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
“You're needing a lot more compute. And so your deployment capabilities, how many chips are owned by, say, US hyperscaler companies, Azure, AWS, etcetera, is a very relevant competitiveness variable because then are they able to serve the customers or not?”
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
“I think on the I think, generally, I think the political problems, the incentives, the giving people things to do that are incentive payable is is where more of the value is at compared to on the technical side.”
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
“It's guided by being useful. But I think that there's often niches that people aren't trying to bring clarity to or advance or think about from the perspective of AI being a very big deal.”
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
“If it's researchers and they're not being paid well, they're also going in the middle of nowhere in some place that has a big data center with a big target over it, because it's extremely visible from space, it gives off so much heat.”
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
“geable as well. So it's sort of I I think there's some key if you're saying, well, we'll have it just be an industry or something like that, well, then you're not gonna have good information security.”
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
“In in the nuclear era, we had deterrence through mutual assured destruction. They don't use nukes because we can hit them back.”
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
“Because fortunately, they're not agents yet. So basically, all this research doesn't particularly matter, with the exception of, like, dual use expert level advice, because the agents aren't capable.”
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
“If they control it, if if another state does this, you're in big trouble because if they control it, they can weaponize against you. And if they don't control it, which I think would be the more likely outcome because they'd be doing it under extreme time pressures, cutting a lot of corners.”
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk