Speakers in the public record
Claim mix
belief 10evaluation 5prediction 4uncertainty 3recommendation 2
Evidence policy
Every row below preserves an exact excerpt. Identified speakers are linked; unresolved voices are labeled and excluded from people counts.
Claim ledger
The useful parts, with receipts.
24 published records
“And so if you sort of combine in a country like the US or any country in Europe, if you combine declining population with less immigration, the remaining human workers are going to be at a premium, not at a discount. And so I think that combination of faster productivity growth, faster economic growth, and then slower population growth and less immigration actually means there's going to be much less of this kind of dystopian no jobs' thing.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“I think people aren't fully grasping just, specifically, software engineering and how much that is changing. It's pretty clear we're going to be in a world soon where engineers are not actually writing code, which I think, a year ago, we would not have thought.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“We could debate that, we could talk about that more. But the prosaic definition of AGI that at least I think the industry purchases but it's kind of conversed on, and tell me if you agree with this, is when the AI could do every economically-relevant task as good as a person.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“I think we're used to living in a world where we just don't understand how good good can get, because we've been capped by our own biology.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“One is, the trust that a lot of people have had and kind of what you described as kind of legacy institutions around the world is, I think, in kind of full-scale collapse right now.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“" People can just do this today. And so I think there's this massive opportunity for parents in many walks of life, with a little bit of time at focus, to be able to say, " Okay, my kid's probably still going to go through a traditional education system, but I'm going to augment this with AI tutoring.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“I think you used the term smoke stack or something where it's like PM over here, engineer design, and what I'm hearing here is you need to get good at at least two of these skills.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“People who really want to improve themselves and develop their career should be spending every spare hour, in my view, at this point, talking to AI, being like, "All right, train me up.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“I think to your point, your T-shaped thing, I think that's going to be true basically across the entire economy.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“Take it this way. This is actually worth talking about because people, I think, get sideways on this issue.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“I think 2025 was maybe the most interesting year in my entire career and probably life, and I think I would expect 2026 to exceed that.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“If it doesn't work, or if it's not doing what you expect, or it's not fast enough or whatever, you need to be able to understand the results of what the AI is giving you.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“I don't know, my view is I need to put a big discount on my forecasting ability on this one.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“I'm picturing an F sideways or an E where there's three, two or three, I don't know, downward parts.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“Everybody's materially much better off very quickly. And then by the way, to the extent that you do have unemployment coming out the other side of that, it's now much cheaper to provide the social safety net to prevent people from being immiserated because the prices of all the goods and services that a welfare program has to pay from, they're all collapsing.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“It's always kind of relative in comparison to a human worker, right? And it's, like, I don't know, human skill level caps out at a certain point, but that's because of the inherent biological limitations of the human organism.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“Because you get to hire people with all these skills and experiences, right, and you're in this ecosystem that adapts and channels talents and skill and knowledge and people into the new fields.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“I would just say, there may be, I don't know, there may be like one particularly brilliant, I don't know, hedge fund manager or something who has this all figured out, but I guess I would say if they exist I haven't met them yet.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“All of that translates to, okay, probably at the end of this, there's going to be two or three companies that are going to end up with like 100%, I don't know, whatever, 50/50 or 30/30/30 or 90/10 and one, or whatever it is, market share and then they're going to have whatever profitability they have and it's going to be kind of a classic oligopoly, or maybe one company's going to win definitively and it'll be a monopoly.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“There's this massive question in the field of education, which is, how do you improve educational outcomes? And basically, it turns out it's very hard to improve educational outcomes except there's one method that always does it, which is called the Bloom's 2 Sigma effect, which is there's one method of education that routinely raises student outcomes by two standards of deviation and will take a kid from the 50th percentile to the 99th percentile and that's one-on-one tutoring.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“" What I found is if you look back on those predictions a few years later, and you can do this by the way, if you pull up coverage of the internet from 1993 through 1997, or for that matter even through 2005 or 2010, and you look at the kinds of confidence statements people were making in the first 10 or 15 years, I would say almost all of them were wrong, generally quite badly wrong.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“You're always more productive if you know how the machine works when you use the machine. And so the super-empowered individual on the other end of this that wants to do great things with the new technology, yes, you 100% want to understand this thing all the way down the stack because you want to be able to understand what it's giving you.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“Specifically, the following, which is every coder now believes they can also be a product manager and a designer because they have AI, every product manager thinks they can be a coder and a designer, and then every designer knows they can be a product manager and a coder.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
“The way I think about this, we have a 10-year-old, we actually homeschool and so we think a lot about this. So I think the way to think about the impact of AI on, specifically, people as individuals, it's actually, a lot of people just focus on this kind of very, I would say, straightforward or overly simplistic view of just literally job losses, which we can talk about.”
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast