Marc Andreessen: belief

Transcript context

…This is the challenge. And again, this kind of goes to your original question, which is education, there's two completely different ways to think about education. The way that it's usually thought about and talked about is kind of at the level of a nation. So it's like a national level issue or maybe a state level issue in the US, which is basically, how do you educate all the kids? And of course, that's incredibly important. And of course, you're going to need some level of large scale system, like the national K through 12 school system or something like that in order to do that. But then there's this other question, which is like, N=1, for an individual kid, what can you do with an individual kid? And so I'll just give you the ultimate answer to that question, which is, it's been known for centuries that the ideal way to teach a kid at the unit of N=1, by far the ideal way to do it is with one-on-one tutoring. If you just have an individual kid and the goal is to maximize an individual kid, by far you get the best results with one-on-one tutoring. And this is something that every royal family knew in history. It's something that every aristocratic class knew in history. There's all these amazing examples. Alexander the Great was tutored by Aristotle. He took over the world. Many of the great kings, queens, royal families, aristocrats and so forth over the course of centuries kind of always had this approach. There's actually also statistical evidence, analytical evidence that this is correct. There's this massive question in the field of education, which is, how do you improve educational outcomes? And basically, it turns out it's very hard to improve educational outcomes except there's one method that always does it, which is called the Bloom's 2 Sigma effect, which is there's one method of education that routinely raises student outcomes by two standards of deviation and will take a kid from the 50th percentile to the 99th percentile and that's one-on-one tutoring. So again, if you go back to N=1, you have a kid and a tutor and they're in this very tight loop with each other, where the kid is able to constantly kind of be on the leading edge of what they're capable of doing and they can move incredibly fast and they get kind of correction in real time, you get these better outcomes. But to your question, it's never been economically feasible for anybody other than the richest people in society to be able to provide one-on-one tutoring for kids. AI provides the very real prospect of being able to do that, because obviously now, if you have a kid that's super interested in something and they can talk to an LLM about it and they can ask an infinite number of questions and they can get instantaneous feedback. And in fact, you can even tell an LLM, it's like, "Teach me how to do the following." And you can say, "Wow, I don't quite understand what you're saying. Numb it down for me a little bit." s feedback. And in fact, you can even tell an LLM, it's like, "Teach me how to do the following." And you can say, "Wow, I don't quite understand what you're saying. Numb it down for me a little bit." "Okay, now quiz me, do I actually understand this? " People can just do this today. And so I think there's this massive opportunity for parents in many walks of life, with a little bit of time at focus, to be able to say, " Okay, my kid's probably still going to go through a traditional education system, but I'm going to augment this with AI tutoring. " And of course, there's going to be tons of startups, and there already are, that are going to try to build on all the products and services for this. Khan Academy, on the nonprofit side, has a big push to do this. And so I think the broad answer might be a hybrid approach with schools plus one-to-one tutoring through AI. You may have heard, there's this great new private school system called Alpha, in which everything I just described is kind of the basis of their philosophy, which is, it's a combination of in person schools and teachers, but it's also heavily based on AI and AI tutoring. And so I think there is a magic formula in here that I think is going to apply much more broadly. And really, for parents interested in this, now it'd be a great time to really start to think hard about that and to look at the options. It's interesting because there's all this concern that young people, jobs are not going to be there for them, AI is replacing them. On the flip side, there's what you're describing here. It feels like people coming in learning today are going to move so fast and learn so much more. And where do you sit on this divide of, young people are in big trouble or they're actually going to be the ones winning in the end?…

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