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Nate Silver

Published podcast speaker

Claims
108
Episodes
3
Shows
1
Named items
0

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What Nate said.

4 transcript-backed records

01 / prediction

I think any other non-Vance candidate is going to have a lot of trouble escaping the shadow of Trump, so I’d regard Democrats as a 55–45 favorite for 2028, pricing in some chance they’ll nominate what I would think of as a suboptimal — from an electoral standpoint — candidate.

“I think any other non-Vance candidate is going to have a lot of trouble escaping the shadow of Trump, so I’d regard Democrats as a 55–45 favorite for 2028, pricing in some chance they’ll nominate what I would think of as a suboptimal — from an electoral standpoint — candidate.”
Speaker
Nate Silver
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

03 / prediction

Conditional on having won the GOP nomination, Trump will have had to display some staying power, some acumen, because sooner or later he will have to get beyond 35 percent to win 50 percent or so, and probably will have done something to improve his image with people who are not in his core constituency.

“Conditional on having won the GOP nomination, Trump will have had to display some staying power, some acumen, because sooner or later he will have to get beyond 35 percent to win 50 percent or so, and probably will have done something to improve his image with people who are not in his core constituency.”
Speaker
Nate Silver
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

04 / prediction

That is important, I think. I got a little frustrated, because a lot of people were saying, “Trump’s instantly going to evaporate in the polls.

“That is important, I think. I got a little frustrated, because a lot of people were saying, “Trump’s instantly going to evaporate in the polls.”
Speaker
Nate Silver
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler
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