Public evidence record
Published podcast speaker
Books, apps, and tools
other / uses
“But when I read Superintelligence by Nick Bostrom in around 2016, it really became real for me where he just describes how hard it will be to make sure that an AI system trained with the kinds of optimization techniques that we had at the time would be anywhere near aligned, would even understand our values at all.”
book / recommends
“The first one I mentioned before, Replacing Guilt by Nate Soares. Love that one. The second one is Good Strategy Bad Strategy by Richard Rumelt. Just thinking about in a very clear way, how do you build product? It's one of the best strategy books I've read and strategy is a hard word to even think about in many ways. And then the last one is The Alignment Problem by Brian Christian. Just really thoughtfully goes through what is this problem that we care about that we're trying to solve here? What are the stakes in a version that's more updated and easier to read and digest than superintelligence?”
book / recommends
“The first one I mentioned before, Replacing Guilt by Nate Soares. Love that one. The second one is Good Strategy Bad Strategy by Richard Rumelt. Just thinking about in a very clear way, how do you build product? It's one of the best strategy books I've read and strategy is a hard word to even think about in many ways. And then the last one is The Alignment Problem by Brian Christian. Just really thoughtfully goes through what is this problem that we care about that we're trying to solve here? What are the stakes in a version that's more updated and easier to read and digest than superintelligence?”
book / recommends
“The first one I mentioned before, Replacing Guilt by Nate Soares. Love that one. The second one is Good Strategy Bad Strategy by Richard Rumelt. Just thinking about in a very clear way, how do you build product? It's one of the best strategy books I've read and strategy is a hard word to even think about in many ways. And then the last one is The Alignment Problem by Brian Christian. Just really thoughtfully goes through what is this problem that we care about that we're trying to solve here? What are the stakes in a version that's more updated and easier to read and digest than superintelligence?”
Claim ledger
7 transcript-backed records
01 / belief
“I think we're just in an unprecedented era of scale and it's only going to get crazier actually.”
02 / belief
“I think safety pill yourself, that's the number one thing and spread it to your network.”
03 / belief
“I think 50th percentile chance of hitting some kind of superintelligence is now like 2028.”
04 / belief
“Yeah, I mean I think there's a traditional mindset where it makes us look bad, but I think if you talk to policymakers, they really appreciate this kind of thing because they feel like we're giving them the straight talk and that's what we strive to do, that they can trust us, that we're not going to paper things over or sugarcoat things.”
05 / belief
“I think that for some tasks we are saturating the amount of intelligence needed for that task, maybe to extract information from a simple document that already has form fields on it or something like it's just so easy that okay, yeah, we're already at 100% and there's this great chart on Our World in Data that shows that when you release a new benchmark within six to 12 months, it immediately gets saturated.”
06 / belief
“I think if we had 10 times as many chips and had the data centers to power them, then maybe we wouldn't go 10 times faster, but it would be a real significant speed boost.”
07 / belief
“Many of the other companies in the space are growing really fast. And at Anthropic, I think we've been maybe much less affected than many of the other companies in the space because people here are so mission oriented and they stay because...”