Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedBenjamin Mann: belief
20 Jul 2025 Lenny's Podcast Anthropic co-founder on quitting OpenAI, AGI predictions, $100M talent wars, 20% unemployment, and the nightmare scenarios keeping him up at night | Ben Mann
“I think 50th percentile chance of hitting some kind of superintelligence is now like 2028.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Benjamin Mann
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 20 Jul 2025
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
Transcript context
…You wrote somewhere that creating powerful AI might be the last invention humanity ever needs to make. How much time do we have, Ben? I think 50th percentile chance of hitting some kind of superintelligence is now like 2028. What is it that you saw at OpenAI? What'd you experience there that made you feel like, okay, we got to go do our own thing?…
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