Speakers in the public record
Claim mix
belief 7evaluation 4recommendation 2prediction 2preference 2
Evidence policy
Every row below preserves an exact excerpt. Identified speakers are linked; unresolved voices are labeled and excluded from people counts.
Claim ledger
The useful parts, with receipts.
17 published records
“Immediately, now we know from all of the great recent work supported by various types of swap line arrangement, by ’67, clearly almost dead in the water, and then in ’71, just tossed overboard by the next administration. Funny kind of regime that, I would say.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“Whether that hits the big banks this time, or whether the neuralgic issue will be the mortgage lenders who are in the front line of that shock or the people who are exposed to various types of consumer credit — I think that’s a key issue.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“Very difficult to tell. I agree, it’s flying under the radar right now. It’s one of the places where financial discipline might actually help.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“The flower-based salads, the mushrooms. You don’t hear that much about them, but often better than French food I think.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“For me, one of the reasons I’m skeptical about a strong inflation scenario is it’s not obvious to me that we have, as it were, the sociological guts that would — I don’t mean like bravery — I mean in the sense the underpinnings of a wage price spiral, which I think would be crucial to drive the kind of inflation that you’re talking about if we were to be in 15 percent and 20 percent.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“Of course, German political elites have choices to make, and a large fraction of them are obviously responsible for having made choices which turned out to be absolutely disastrous for their own country and for the rest of the world. But if you’re asking me, as it were, to say what I would argue personally, what my distinctive contribution to the debate has been is to show the way in which the collapse of the financial structures of the ’20s — which did indeed pivot on the United States — in the early ’30s shifted the terms of the debate within Germany and several other potential challenger, if you’d like, insurgent countries.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“Evergrande is, I think, most people’s favorite as the weakest link in the Chinese real estate development sector.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“He is well known for his treatments of German history, the history of the financial crisis, and right now, he is covering the financial stresses in our system on Twitter. I very much recommend that you follow him.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“Slightly overrated, I would say. Not my favorite auteur.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I think his political writings in Essays in Persuasion are brilliant. But I regard The Economic Consequences of the Peace as disastrous because, essentially, it enhanced and gave arguments to the German nationalists who —”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“We could indeed be heading back to a scenario which is every bit as bad as that. And that’s one of the reasons why I say worry about Algeria, because that could produce a huge new flow of migrants from an economically distressed North African country, which France would be ill equipped to deal with.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“[laughs] So sharing has become a key element in my reading, and the trying to figure out what the interesting thing is that I want to share is a very good way of focusing your mind on what the core — I read a piece, so what are the three sentences here I want to cut and paste?”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I take the force of that point, and it’s a classically Keynesian argument for burying a problem you can’t fix politically in some technocratic solution.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“Given that even in the Chinese case, we’re saying something closer to a swoosh than a V, the prospects in the West I think are, as I think you were suggesting, quite poor. It’s unclear to me how, as you were saying, a densely packed urban service sector, face-to-face–based economy of a city like New York — how it comes back under a regime of periodic lockdowns and managed social distancing.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“It’s very important for me in handling the stresses that arise in writing. And one of the things I realized in the course of that is that, actually, rather than thinking it was something terrifying that I had to steel myself to do, the best way to think about it was as something I do every day, so it’s like exercise.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“South Africa, I think, is top of most people’s lists — terrible health risks because of the large 7 million-plus people living with HIV, who, we imagine, are probably extremely vulnerable to COVID-19; long-standing huge unemployment problem; growth below population growth for a long time; just been down-rated to junk for its sovereign bonds.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
“I grew up in beautiful, sunny provincial Heidelberg, and it’s pretty difficult to recommend anywhere more highly than that for the tourism and to get the dolce vita sense of Germany.”
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler