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The Cognitive Revolution / episode intelligence

AI in the AM — Week 2 Highlights (June 2026)

13 Jun 2026 15 published claims 1 attributable person
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Speakers in the public record

Nathan Labenz

Claim mix

belief 7prediction 4commitment 2uncertainty 1recommendation 1

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Every row below preserves an exact excerpt. Identified speakers are linked; unresolved voices are labeled and excluded from people counts.

Claim ledger

The useful parts, with receipts.

15 published records

01 / prediction

We will see failure rates for where it's sort of trigger safety filters, where it's for things like You, your prospecting leads for a landscaping business, and the AI says, Oh, this is personal data, even though it's probably available on the internet.

“We will see failure rates for where it's sort of trigger safety filters, where it's for things like You, your prospecting leads for a landscaping business, and the AI says, Oh, this is personal data, even though it's probably available on the internet.”
Speaker
Not verified from transcript
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

03 / belief

For context, Frontier code is the new benchmark asking whether an open source maintainer would actually merge the model's pull request. And this leap of roughly 10% for Opus to 25 upwards of 30% for Fable, I think is a a very similar finding to some of the things that I've just personally experienced where it's like, yeah, this is getting me a lot more.

“For context, Frontier code is the new benchmark asking whether an open source maintainer would actually merge the model's pull request. And this leap of roughly 10% for Opus to 25 upwards of 30% for Fable, I think is a a very similar finding to some of the things that I've just personally experienced where it's like, yeah, this is getting me a lot more.”
Speaker
Nathan Labenz
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

04 / belief

We began with timelines. It's a historic day, I think historic circumstances, both because we are living in a fable era now where I think again important thresholds have been crossed and revealed to the public and so many are adjusting to it in real time.

“We began with timelines. It's a historic day, I think historic circumstances, both because we are living in a fable era now where I think again important thresholds have been crossed and revealed to the public and so many are adjusting to it in real time.”
Speaker
Nathan Labenz
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

05 / commitment

We are going to see more and more of that into the economy. And I think the exact role an AI plays and the role, and again, the social norms you create with it in the economy, it's super early, it's extremely early days, but that's going to be interesting to see how it evolves.

“We are going to see more and more of that into the economy. And I think the exact role an AI plays and the role, and again, the social norms you create with it in the economy, it's super early, it's extremely early days, but that's going to be interesting to see how it evolves.”
Speaker
Not verified from transcript
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

06 / belief

Like it's like a nice little thing that the model did. And so this is the area that I'm really interested in because I think that when Anthropic and OpenAI really start seeing signs that these models become good at research, that's when we're really, really, really close to actual RSI, which to me is the thing that is happening in AI right now.

“Like it's like a nice little thing that the model did. And so this is the area that I'm really interested in because I think that when Anthropic and OpenAI really start seeing signs that these models become good at research, that's when we're really, really, really close to actual RSI, which to me is the thing that is happening in AI right now.”
Speaker
Not verified from transcript
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

07 / belief

At that point, leadership alone will have power. And one of the very worrying things I think in the entire space is that everything good for humanity that has come out over the last couple of 100 years has been about giving more people voice to speak and control their futures.

“At that point, leadership alone will have power. And one of the very worrying things I think in the entire space is that everything good for humanity that has come out over the last couple of 100 years has been about giving more people voice to speak and control their futures.”
Speaker
Not verified from transcript
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

09 / commitment

There are many risks. But I do not think that we have strong evidence that it is impossible to navigate these risks or that it is extremely unlikely that we will navigate these risks.

“There are many risks. But I do not think that we have strong evidence that it is impossible to navigate these risks or that it is extremely unlikely that we will navigate these risks.”
Speaker
Not verified from transcript
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

10 / belief

I think we've seen over the last couple of days what you have when we've just seen the start of power concentration and we've sort of seen some of its more unwelcome effects.

“I think we've seen over the last couple of days what you have when we've just seen the start of power concentration and we've sort of seen some of its more unwelcome effects.”
Speaker
Not verified from transcript
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

13 / prediction

Because I think there's still kind of a synthesis there that I don't mean to suggest that machine learning is over, but the analysis I've come to kind of time and again is like people may invent new techniques that are enough to change the field, change what's possible, accelerate things, maybe make dramatic improvements to the safety profiles.

“Because I think there's still kind of a synthesis there that I don't mean to suggest that machine learning is over, but the analysis I've come to kind of time and again is like people may invent new techniques that are enough to change the field, change what's possible, accelerate things, maybe make dramatic improvements to the safety profiles.”
Speaker
Nathan Labenz
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

14 / recommendation

It can only do probably the frog game at the end of this training. But building out a world where we have these little role-specific AIs doing their jobs, doing it really well, I think that creates a much more buffered environment that's probably a lot more resilient to another generation of AI that's just like amazing at everything coming in and kind of shocking the system in such a profound way.

“It can only do probably the frog game at the end of this training. But building out a world where we have these little role-specific AIs doing their jobs, doing it really well, I think that creates a much more buffered environment that's probably a lot more resilient to another generation of AI that's just like amazing at everything coming in and kind of shocking the system in such a profound way.”
Speaker
Nathan Labenz
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

15 / prediction

How, you know, it's it is going to be a whole new space to explore that is going to be very, very interesting, very productive, very exciting, very, very challenging, I think, for a lot of people, but it's It's definitely happening now as far as I can tell.

“How, you know, it's it is going to be a whole new space to explore that is going to be very, very interesting, very productive, very exciting, very, very challenging, I think, for a lot of people, but it's It's definitely happening now as far as I can tell.”
Speaker
Nathan Labenz
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution
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