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Speaker unverified: belief

13 Jun 2026 The Cognitive Revolution AI in the AM — Week 2 Highlights (June 2026)

“From this week, no, but I think, actually from this week one, but not nearly as important as the unit distance problem.”

— Speaker unverified

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Speaker
Speaker unverified
Attribution
Not verified from this transcript
Claim type
belief
Recorded
13 Jun 2026
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

Transcript context

…So any other things that have caught your attention that you think have kind of changed your conception or your expectations for the transition into the RSI phase that you would call out from this week? From this week, no, but I think, actually from this week one, but not nearly as important as the unit distance problem. That to me, nothing has updated my timelines more than that result by OpenAI in the recent couple of months for sure. I don't think that people realize that not only can OpenAI's model solve this problem autonomously without any harness in one shot, if given enough test time compute, it can do it 48% of the time, based on, as I understand it, hundreds of times. So this, I mean, you know, I'm not an mathematician, but this problem that no human mathematician was able to solve, and they tried for decades, can now be solved in one shot by a model basically half the time. And if you look at the graph, OpenAI published the graph, it has a positive second derivative. It is upward sloping. Where does it plateau? What does it mean for problems that are even harder? You know, who can say? It's Interesting. And so the development from this week, this was reported by the information, but apparently it's from a leaked OpenAI memo. You may have seen this where Sam Altman and Jakob Petroski apparently said that we're going to IPO next year, which is like by June of next year, whatever. And then there was this weird line in there about, oh, but if RSI happens, then we may need to be on a later like time frame of that. Which is like, what do you mean? Like, what does that mean? Like, do you mean, are you talking, are you saying that you may be like this close? It may be six months away. I don't think so personally. I think it's maybe like a 10% chance or something like that. Like, I don't think that they're saying, oh yeah, by the way, like next month, totally, like whatever. But it, One could interpret this disclosure, if the information reported it correctly, as saying that they're not too far away at all, potentially. I'm not using this data to update my timelines, but giving the unit distance problem result, it's interesting. We ended the week by asking Prince the question underneath all of it. Do you maintain a P doom number or is that to... Doomer for your style.…

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