Speaker unverified: commitment

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…24 hours later on Thursday's show, the receipts. We did an experiment from yesterday to today of trying to have Fable take over my Twitter account and go out and ping people who made cool stuff and ask them if they wanted to come do a live show and tell with us. We have a, it's funny, Swix joins. We've got a little work to do on our captioning. I instructed it to identify itself. I would say it did a very solid job, you know, kind of competent professional job of reaching out to people, explaining who we are, what we're doing, you know, why we would like them to join us in this experiment. And the response rate was pretty low. We got a couple, but not that many. And I think one big reason is just we're, Fable is disclosing up front, first thing it says is, hey, this is actually Fable taking over Nathan's account. He's asked me to autonomously book this thing tomorrow. And I think that's just hitting people as noise in a lot of cases, especially if they don't already know me. I did get a couple responses from people who I would have expected to respond to me who thought it was funny and kind of responded, but still couldn't necessarily make it. But a lot of people just didn't respond. And I would assume that a big part of that is because they're just like, oh God, you know, it begins, right? Fable now in my DMs, what a mess. Who has time for all this stuff? One of the people Fable recruited was Schlock. And when I confessed some guilt about the whole arrangement, he flipped it and drew a line I suspect is going to stick. The new norms around this I think are going to be really interesting to watch too. Like I had Fable disclose immediately in its first sentence to you and everybody else that it pinged that it was Fable because I just felt too guilty putting a DM out in my name otherwise. I think that definitely harmed the response rate. I appreciate you for appreciating it and responding even though it was favorable. I think a lot of other people probably just chalked it up to spam. Final point there, right? Firstly, I don't think I would have responded had you not disclosed it was favorable. The part that made it interesting for me was that I knew what I was the transaction here. It was very clear to me that you are using an AI bot. It is It is much more annoying if someone doesn't disclose it. I think a lot of slop, the definition of slop is when you have a human pass of work that was clearly produced by an AI. I don't think when you make this disclosure up front and it is very clear to the reader or the engager that, hey, this is AI, I don't think that is slop. We are going to see more and more of that into the economy. And I think the exact role an AI plays and the role, and again, the social norms you create with it in the economy, it's super early, it's extremely early days, but that's going to be interesting to see how it evolves. Relinquishment. That's what I, relinquishment. When you said the preciousness yesterday, and I was like, what is that? Relinquishment, relinquishing your, it's very Buddhist by the way, the idea of giving up your control over your external perspective. So relinquishment. I guess we all have to go through it. I just started this experiment yesterday. I will post results on Twitter in a couple of weeks where I gave Fable a new substack. And since it's part of my max plan till June 22, I thought that a good experiment to run would be get it. make $20 by getting 3 new subscribers, starting from scratch, by doing everything from zero to 1. And I think that's another interesting way to test the capabilities of these models, right? Which is, can it, sure, it's intelligent in so many ways, but can it actually produce economically useful work? I'm excited to see the results for that. And the why of it all, as it settled for me live on the air. I never want to put anything out in my name that I can't fully stand behind. The reason that I did the Fable account takeover yesterday was kind of like exposure therapy for myself to say like, okay, we're now in kind of a new world here. It probably doesn't serve me so well anymore to be so precious about making sure I've typed every single word. That doesn't mean I want to long-term hand over my account to Fable either, but I'm trying to, use this kind of extreme, short-term experiment to help kind of drag me into the future where I hopefully will land in a, good hybrid calibration. The other half of the recalibration is what I've started calling hybrid authorship. And this week, it stopped being hypothetical. For context, Frontier code is the new benchmark asking whether an open source maintainer would actually merge the model's pull request. And this leap of roughly 10% for Opus to 25 upwards of 30% for Fable, I think is a a very similar finding to some of the things that I've just personally experienced where it's like, yeah, this is getting me a lot more. it's writing the draft outline of questions for this podcast guest in a kind of uncanny way that I actually feel really good about as opposed to feeling like, you know, this is an AI draft that I'm going to kind of mine for maybe some nuggets or, you know, interesting details, but ultimately kind of throw away and do my own. I am I am feeling that sort of, impulse or at least openness to much more integrated hybrid work. Just yesterday I was like accepting a lot more copy that Fable was writing without feeling the need to rewrite every line. And it seems like this is basically the same feeling that it's able to create for these open source maintainers. Now, not obviously still ways to go, but how long will it be? I would guess that we'll hit, we're 25, 30% now, I would guess we'll hit 75, 80% by the end of the year where these maintainers will just be like, yeah, amazing. You did all the, did all the things like I wanted you to do. And, you know, at that point it is really going to be like, you know, I'm very interested to see where they'll move the goalposts to next after the, after the open source maintainers are more often than not saying that, they would just merge this straight away. And by Friday morning, 48 hours into the takeover, which for the record had not embarrassed me, I'd found a name for the deeper shift. The thing I suspect matters more than any benchmark this week.…

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