Speaker unverified: belief

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…Thursday's walkback gave Prakash a darker read on where power sits inside the labs. The researcher's veto worked this time. Note the expiration date he puts on it. If you're dealing with a bunch of people who are worth 100 million to a billion dollars and you don't listen to them, they're out, right? They have other options. Sure enough, so you see the reversal. And I think this is just goes to speak to, you know, the machine learning researchers have some power now. And once we enter recursive self-improvement proper, that might not be true anymore. At that point, leadership alone will have power. And one of the very worrying things I think in the entire space is that everything good for humanity that has come out over the last couple of 100 years has been about giving more people voice to speak and control their futures. And this is one of the first technologies I think where you have this path forward where they may be an elimination of voice completely over time. And so that has been one of the worrying things. It's been surprising that Anthropic decided to be the one to actually propagate that forward. But is the future really that concentrated? I think mostly yes. Fable plus 2. Tom McGrath thinks I'm wrong on the facts and on the desirability. He made his case and it's a good one. When you think about the strategy for the company and the overall path to impact, how much of this works through getting Frontier model companies to adopt these techniques? For context, obviously we're in Fable Plus 2 and my kind of reluctant, but I can't figure out a way or figure out a reason I should conclude otherwise, view right now is like so much of what matters is concentrated in not that many companies. And so for like what we should be paying attention to, I'm kind of like, man, we probably need to be doing close strategic analysis and like close text reading of frontier companies way more than I might otherwise like. Or do you have a different conception of how concentrated the the real kind of ability to shape the future is right now.…

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