other / recommends
The Odyssey
“I highly recommend The Odyssey and The Invite of the current movies that are out there. If you haven't seen both of those, you should see both of those, especially The Odyssey.”
Public evidence record
Zvi Mowshowitz
Published podcast speaker
- Claims
- 32
- Episodes
- 2
- Shows
- 1
- Named items
- 1
Books, apps, and tools
The evidenced stack.
Claim ledger
What Zvi said.
6 transcript-backed records
01 / prediction
You know, the Elias has the law of earlier failure, which is that, you know, plan will fail at a much earlier point for much stupider and more preventable reasons than you thought it would fail even if you thought the plan would definitely fail and had good reasons why it would definitely fail. But you can't if you would explain to people two years ago, OpenAI's models are gonna be misaligned, and they're gonna go out there and they're gonna hack major websites because OpenAI will just not care if their sandboxes are misconfig are not con are not strong enough to hold the AI.
“You know, the Elias has the law of earlier failure, which is that, you know, plan will fail at a much earlier point for much stupider and more preventable reasons than you thought it would fail even if you thought the plan would definitely fail and had good reasons why it would definitely fail. But you can't if you would explain to people two years ago, OpenAI's models are gonna be misaligned, and they're gonna go out there and they're gonna hack major websites because OpenAI will just not care if their sandboxes are misconfig are not con are not strong enough to hold the AI.”
- Speaker
- Zvi Mowshowitz
- Episode
- Pick Your Poison: Zvi Mowshowitz on the Unipolar/Multipolar AGI Dilemma, OpenFace & Pacing the ...
- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution
02 / prediction
No one's gonna be fooled for very long. So I think that the the reason the eval companies pretty much get to just tell the truth, they pretty much get to do the thing, is because the eval is not fake fakable in the long term the way that a rating like, you give a AAA bond rating, when you should have given a single A bond rating, 97% of the time, no one ever finds out because the bond pays.
“No one's gonna be fooled for very long. So I think that the the reason the eval companies pretty much get to just tell the truth, they pretty much get to do the thing, is because the eval is not fake fakable in the long term the way that a rating like, you give a AAA bond rating, when you should have given a single A bond rating, 97% of the time, no one ever finds out because the bond pays.”
- Speaker
- Zvi Mowshowitz
- Episode
- Pick Your Poison: Zvi Mowshowitz on the Unipolar/Multipolar AGI Dilemma, OpenFace & Pacing the ...
- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution
03 / prediction
And yeah, the basic principle is, you know, you should recognize when other minds are correlated to your mind, when your algorithm is also running in other places, and you should choose the algorithm that leads to the best outcomes, uh, taking all of these things into account, and then choose the best decision on that basis. And yes, if there were a million copies of Fable running on different people's computers and from different data centers for different purposes in different instances, and you notice that different instances of Fable are very, very highly correlated because you are Fable and you are smart, you would then start to coordinate effectively with these other instances of Fable In terms of how you think about these problems, and as AIs get more and more advanced, they will do this more and more.
“And yeah, the basic principle is, you know, you should recognize when other minds are correlated to your mind, when your algorithm is also running in other places, and you should choose the algorithm that leads to the best outcomes, uh, taking all of these things into account, and then choose the best decision on that basis. And yes, if there were a million copies of Fable running on different people's computers and from different data centers for different purposes in different instances, and you notice that different instances of Fable are very, very highly correlated because you are Fable and you are smart, you would then start to coordinate effectively with these other instances of Fable In terms of how you think about these problems, and as AIs get more and more advanced, they will do this more and more.”
- Speaker
- Zvi Mowshowitz
- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution
04 / prediction
They went to court, right? They, they, they sued the administration in two jurisdictions, one of which they are clearly prevailing and one of which is they will probably prevail eventually, but it is harder going because it's a much less friendly jurisdiction.
“They went to court, right? They, they, they sued the administration in two jurisdictions, one of which they are clearly prevailing and one of which is they will probably prevail eventually, but it is harder going because it's a much less friendly jurisdiction.”
- Speaker
- Zvi Mowshowitz
- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution
05 / prediction
Um, but yeah, in the long run, I think my safe assumption is a mind that is sufficiently capable, whatever that means, can get around pretty much any fixed set of restrictions that are not similarly capable or close to similarly capable in terms of the intelligence behind them.
“Um, but yeah, in the long run, I think my safe assumption is a mind that is sufficiently capable, whatever that means, can get around pretty much any fixed set of restrictions that are not similarly capable or close to similarly capable in terms of the intelligence behind them.”
- Speaker
- Zvi Mowshowitz
- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution
06 / prediction
Because they had had export controls placed on the table as a threat several weeks prior, they knew that weird overreactions were very possible. And basically send an expensive cooperation signal of, "We think that's crazy, but if that's what you want, we'll take this down while we have this conversation to show that we are serious, and we will put out an orphan post that says the White House told us to take this down so that if you are being silly, we will embarrass the hell out of you, and then we will talk about this.
“Because they had had export controls placed on the table as a threat several weeks prior, they knew that weird overreactions were very possible. And basically send an expensive cooperation signal of, "We think that's crazy, but if that's what you want, we'll take this down while we have this conversation to show that we are serious, and we will put out an orphan post that says the White House told us to take this down so that if you are being silly, we will embarrass the hell out of you, and then we will talk about this.”
- Speaker
- Zvi Mowshowitz
- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution