person / likes
James Burnham
“Oh, yes, my favorite is James Burnham. He’s my favorite.”
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Published podcast speaker
Books, apps, and tools
person / likes
“Oh, yes, my favorite is James Burnham. He’s my favorite.”
person / recommends
“Then I read this profile that I recommend to everybody, which is, Tom Wolfe, the great novelist, journalist, wrote a profile of Bob Noyce, who was the original founder of Intel and basically the father of the chip industry.”
Claim ledger
31 transcript-backed records
01 / evaluation
“If it doesn't work, or if it's not doing what you expect, or it's not fast enough or whatever, you need to be able to understand the results of what the AI is giving you.”
02 / evaluation
“It's always kind of relative in comparison to a human worker, right? And it's, like, I don't know, human skill level caps out at a certain point, but that's because of the inherent biological limitations of the human organism.”
03 / evaluation
“Because you get to hire people with all these skills and experiences, right, and you're in this ecosystem that adapts and channels talents and skill and knowledge and people into the new fields.”
04 / evaluation
“" What I found is if you look back on those predictions a few years later, and you can do this by the way, if you pull up coverage of the internet from 1993 through 1997, or for that matter even through 2005 or 2010, and you look at the kinds of confidence statements people were making in the first 10 or 15 years, I would say almost all of them were wrong, generally quite badly wrong.”
05 / evaluation
“The way I think about this, we have a 10-year-old, we actually homeschool and so we think a lot about this. So I think the way to think about the impact of AI on, specifically, people as individuals, it's actually, a lot of people just focus on this kind of very, I would say, straightforward or overly simplistic view of just literally job losses, which we can talk about.”
06 / evaluation
“The thing that the tenured professors at all these places know is it doesn’t matter who the president is because they can outlast them because they cannot get fired.”
07 / evaluation
“About 20, 30-year-old book, but it’s completely modern and current in what it talks about as well as very deeply historically informed. So it’s called Private Truths, Public Lies, and it’s written by a social science professor named Timur Kuran, at I think Duke, and his definitive work on this.”
08 / evaluation
“My serious observation would be it’s the thing I’ve talked to him about for a long time, and I keep trying to read and follow everything he does, is he’s probably, he is the, I think, see if you agree with this, he is the smartest and most credible critic of LLMs as the path for AI.”
09 / evaluation
“The voters actually have a voice and they actually exercise it, and they don’t just listen to ads. And so again, there, I would say, yeah, clearly there’s some power there, but I don’t know if it’s some weapon that he can just turn on and use in a definitive way.”
10 / evaluation
“I think you said something actually quite profound there, which is the ring of power is infinitely tempting.”
11 / evaluation
“I think that most people just go along, and I think even most high status people just go along. And I think maybe the most high status people are the most prone to just go along because they’re the most focused on status.”
12 / evaluation
“Like I said, I think the best of the startups today are more aggressive, more ambitious, more capable.”
13 / evaluation
“Now, we’re dealing with a minority, not a majority, but I think there’s quite a bit — every hour I get that I can spend at 20-year-olds is actually very encouraging.”
14 / evaluation
“The interesting thing he said about that is, he said, “Look, managerialism is, basically, it’s not that it’s good or bad. It just is necessary because companies and institutions and governments and all the rest of it get to the point where they’re just too big and too complicated for one person to run everything.”
15 / evaluation
“Then there’s a somewhat separate question of who’s in the best position to deploy because it doesn’t help you that much to invent if you can’t deploy it.”
16 / evaluation
“Then over the course of the last 30 or 40 years, basically, what’s evolved is the realization in the field (and I think very broadly) that actually, that’s a mistake.”
17 / evaluation
“The good news of AI — and the good news also, by the way, with crypto because there’s always a lot of controversy around crypto and Web3 and blockchain around energy use.”
18 / evaluation
“A big reason I'm more optimistic about a broader set of categories is because computer science in particular, now applies across more categories.”
19 / evaluation
“I view it as — we're an enabling agent for at least enough of a resumption of bourgeois capitalism to be able to get new things built, even if most of the companies that we built ultimately themselves end up being run in the managerial model.”
20 / evaluation
“A consequence of that, that I think is pretty obvious, is that managerial capitalism has a big advantage that Burnham identified, which is that the managers are often very good at running things at scale.”
21 / evaluation
“People I know who spend a lot of time revisiting old decisions are less effective because they mire themselves in what ifs and counterfactuals.”
22 / evaluation
“That work really started kicking in in the 60s and 70s, a little bit later. And then he said — Look, the problem is there aren't other sectors that have had these huge investments in basic research.”
23 / evaluation
“My favorite all time quote on being a startup founder is from Sean Parker, who says —“Starting a company is like chewing glass.”
24 / evaluation
“Erdoğan came out and he said, “I think Twitter is the primary challenge to the survival of any political regime in the modern world,” And I was like — Okay, all the smart analysts all think this is worthless and then a guy who's actually trying to keep control of a country is like, this is my number one threat.”
25 / evaluation
“People are wired to respond to stress in different ways. And I think there are people who are wired to be extremely productive and get very happy under extreme levels of stress.”
26 / evaluation
“Necessary disclaimer on that: in my line of work, a false negative — saying something is not going to work and then it works — is a much bigger mistake than the false positive of saying something’s going to work and then it doesn’t work.”
27 / evaluation
“Everything today is filtered through our politics. It’s really hard to understand, in my view, how people thought, especially before the 1960s, and again, I think, even before the 1930s, through our political lens.”
28 / evaluation
“I think a lot of it is the authority figures just basically showing up and exposing the emperor, quite literally, in a lot of cases has no clothes.”
29 / evaluation
“I think that’s why California has the tech industry in the north and the media industry in the south. It’s because those are the two parts of the virtual frontier: the networks and then the content in the imaginary world.”
30 / evaluation
“The reason I say that is because, one, it’s reductive, or it’s looking backwards, which is to say, we used to have in-person meetings, and now we have some people remote, so now we need hybrid meetings.”
31 / evaluation
“The reason I think that that’s probably right is because at least the history in the Valley is, if we have a sharp entrepreneur with the ability to attract a team, the ability to tell a story and have a vision, and then they’ve got insight into a technological dislocation — an actual change to the technology foundation of the field that they’re working in — then you have a shot for a successful start-up.”