Public evidence record
Published podcast speaker
Claim ledger
19 transcript-backed records
01 / belief
“I think some of the stuff that might be hardest to automate would just be stuff that in some sense doesn't have anything to do with software or capabilities.”
02 / belief
“I think that's something that's happened. So I think we should be expecting ourselves to do a bit better than people did in the past and future people will probably do better than we do.”
03 / belief
“I think you can summarize the highlights of the report as just saying that most of the effort that has ever in the history of humanity has gone into making AI because the field of AI is not very old and the economy and the amount of effort invested have gone up dramatically.”
04 / belief
“I think even then, the amount of money we'd be working with would be really small by the standards of any kind of government budget.”
05 / belief
“I think what I try to do is I try to know enough about the topic that I can manage them effectively, and that's a pretty general corporate best practice.”
06 / belief
“Whereas I believe that if you're a utilitarian, it's really unclear whether utilitarianism actually tells you to do things like avoiding lying.”
07 / belief
“” Whereas you can sit there in your lab with your scientists and find new theories that change the world. So some of this stuff, I think, is very counterintuitive, but I can imagine worlds where you get really wacky stuff before you get self-driving cars out on the road just because of the way the regulations work.”
08 / belief
“I think a lot of moral progress has just come from humans getting to know other humans who they previously were stereotyping and judging negatively and afraid of. So I think there's some way in which humans learning about the world and learning about themselves leads them to have kind of conclusions that are more reflective and more intelligent for their own goals.”
09 / belief
“I actually think the situation looks very challenging, very scary by default, and I think we're tending to overestimate how bad and how dire things are.”
10 / belief
“I mean, I think I've also heard from people who think I'm like underselling the whole thing–– crazy people who just think that I should be planning on transformative AI much sooner than what I kind of implied in the series.”
11 / belief
“I mean, I think in some sense, the effects are permanent in the sense that if you cause someone to live a healthier, better life, that's a significant thing that happened.”
12 / belief
“I think in theory, what we want is to make grants that have more upside than downside or have expected net positive effects.”
13 / belief
“I think that if you were to design an AI system and you were kind of giving it encouragement every time it was getting more money into your bank account, you might get something that's very, very good at getting money into your bank account to the point where you'd going to disrupt the whole world to do that.”
14 / belief
“I think we want to treat each hire as something that we only do because we had a really good reason to.”
15 / belief
“I think there is a good case that they came up with a lot of stuff that really shaped the whole world since then because of the fact that the UK became so influential and really laid the groundwork for a lot of stuff about the rights of the governed, free speech, individual rights, and human rights.”
16 / belief
“If we put the views out into the world, A, I think all the people seeking money from us would just have a better idea of where we're coming from and why is it that we're interested in funding what we're interested in funding.”
17 / belief
“I do believe that most things you could say about the far future are very unreliable and not worth taking action on, but I think there are a few things one might say about what a transition to very powerful AI systems could look like.”
18 / belief
“I argue in the Most Important Century series that it looks reasonably likely, in my opinion, more than 50-50, that this century will see AI systems that can do all of the key tasks that humans do to advance science and technology.”
19 / belief
“I think John Locke was doing his stuff because he felt it was a good thing to do at any period in time, but the thing is that if we are at this crucial period of time, it becomes an even better thing to do and it becomes magnified to the point where it could be more important than other things.”