Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedHolden Karnofsky: belief
3 Jan 2023 Dwarkesh Podcast Holden Karnofsky — History's most important century
“I mean, I think I've also heard from people who think I'm like underselling the whole thing–– crazy people who just think that I should be planning on transformative AI much sooner than what I kind of implied in the series.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Holden Karnofsky
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 3 Jan 2023
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
Transcript context
…Yeah. This may just be me talking, but it actually does sound like if you've learned about how people react to the most important century thesis, but it doesn't seem like something has surfaced–– which has made you change your mind on it a lot. That would be a big, a big change, to drop my view that we could be in the most important century for humanity. That's still what I believe. I mean, I think I've also heard from people who think I'm like underselling the whole thing–– crazy people who just think that I should be planning on transformative AI much sooner than what I kind of implied in the series. So, yeah, I put out “Most Important Century” and I don't believe any of the critiques have been deep enough and strong enough to make me just drop that whole thing. It's a big picture with a lot of moving parts and I have deepened my understanding of many of the parts. Yeah. One thing I find really interesting about your work is how much it involves the CEO having a deep understanding of all the issues involved. You’re the one who has to deeply understand, for example, moral parliaments or specific forecasts about AI, biological anchors, and whatever else, right? It seems perhaps in other organizations, the CEO just delegates this kind of understanding and just asks for the bullet points. Is this something you think more leaders should be doing or is there something special about your position?…
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