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Why half of product managers are in trouble | Nikhyl Singhal (Meta, Google)

19 Apr 2026 19 published claims 2 attributable people
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Speakers in the public record

Lenny RachitskyNikhyl Singhal

Claim mix

prediction 6belief 5evaluation 5recommendation 1uncertainty 1preference 1

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19 published records

01 / prediction

One thing I want to throw out, it's kind of a hot take, and this came from a chat I just had with Amol, a Head of Growth at Anthropic. So he's Head of Growth, he's a PM and he had this really interesting point that as engineers can do so much more, PMs are getting squeezed because they have to stay on top of so many things, so many features, so many ideas, so much talk, so many things being said at them.

“One thing I want to throw out, it's kind of a hot take, and this came from a chat I just had with Amol, a Head of Growth at Anthropic. So he's Head of Growth, he's a PM and he had this really interesting point that as engineers can do so much more, PMs are getting squeezed because they have to stay on top of so many things, so many features, so many ideas, so much talk, so many things being said at them.”
Speaker
Lenny Rachitsky
Publisher
Lenny's Podcast

04 / belief

My prediction is the vast majority of people that are listening to this will be in a different job in the next five years because they will either choose to move to something because that company will struggle to stay modern just like we're describing.

“My prediction is the vast majority of people that are listening to this will be in a different job in the next five years because they will either choose to move to something because that company will struggle to stay modern just like we're describing.”
Speaker
Nikhyl Singhal
Publisher
Lenny's Podcast

06 / prediction

" The combination is going to mean, this year I predict in the next 12 to 24 months, we're going to see massive shedding of staffs and then massive rehiring.

“" The combination is going to mean, this year I predict in the next 12 to 24 months, we're going to see massive shedding of staffs and then massive rehiring.”
Speaker
Nikhyl Singhal
Publisher
Lenny's Podcast

07 / belief

I think that when we first chatted, it was like in maybe the end of COVID, I think the ZIRP era, as we called it, zero interest free money from investors was just cresting.

“I think that when we first chatted, it was like in maybe the end of COVID, I think the ZIRP era, as we called it, zero interest free money from investors was just cresting.”
Speaker
Nikhyl Singhal
Publisher
Lenny's Podcast

09 / belief

Just like if you look at your pie chart today of how happy you are during the day, you can actually be much happier in this future. And I think that's hard for people to really think, just realize, "Oh, wow, okay.

“Just like if you look at your pie chart today of how happy you are during the day, you can actually be much happier in this future. And I think that's hard for people to really think, just realize, "Oh, wow, okay.”
Speaker
Lenny Rachitsky
Publisher
Lenny's Podcast

10 / prediction

I think that there will be 10 to a hundred times more changes that will be presented to products than ever before, because now the cost of testing something, the cost of changing is going to be much, much lower.

“I think that there will be 10 to a hundred times more changes that will be presented to products than ever before, because now the cost of testing something, the cost of changing is going to be much, much lower.”
Speaker
Nikhyl Singhal
Publisher
Lenny's Podcast

11 / evaluation

You work there for six years, you come out, and it feels like you're in a totally different world. So that's why I think the next two years and these changes are so profound, and quite frankly confusing to people.

“You work there for six years, you come out, and it feels like you're in a totally different world. So that's why I think the next two years and these changes are so profound, and quite frankly confusing to people.”
Speaker
Nikhyl Singhal
Publisher
Lenny's Podcast

12 / prediction

Product leaders will increasingly get paid and be asked to drive judgment, and then be the tip of the sphere on trying to essentially obsolete everything else through software, through AI, through agents. This is partly why there's a lot of excitement, because just to be very honest with you and you were a PM and I was a PM, most of the stuff that you didn't like doing are the things that AI is really taking a real crack at.

“Product leaders will increasingly get paid and be asked to drive judgment, and then be the tip of the sphere on trying to essentially obsolete everything else through software, through AI, through agents. This is partly why there's a lot of excitement, because just to be very honest with you and you were a PM and I was a PM, most of the stuff that you didn't like doing are the things that AI is really taking a real crack at.”
Speaker
Nikhyl Singhal
Publisher
Lenny's Podcast

13 / evaluation

I think that particularly a lot of the mid-career people, people that are like, let's call it in their 30s, life plays this cruel trick on you where you end up having your best, most energetic years of your career, your power years of career, because you finally have figured out what you're doing.

“I think that particularly a lot of the mid-career people, people that are like, let's call it in their 30s, life plays this cruel trick on you where you end up having your best, most energetic years of your career, your power years of career, because you finally have figured out what you're doing.”
Speaker
Nikhyl Singhal
Publisher
Lenny's Podcast

14 / evaluation

It depends what he means by shipping stuff because I think that if you have an engineering team of 50 people building things for your customers and you're like, "Hey, I want to be the 51st because that's how I get leveraged.

“It depends what he means by shipping stuff because I think that if you have an engineering team of 50 people building things for your customers and you're like, "Hey, I want to be the 51st because that's how I get leveraged.”
Speaker
Nikhyl Singhal
Publisher
Lenny's Podcast

15 / preference

It's going to be like, "Oh, I was doing it a certain way, and then all of a sudden I built this thing." And oftentimes it's like, "My partner and I use this app that I built," or, "I built a chief of staff app to keep track of my inbox," or, "I now manage the lights in my house using this thing.

“It's going to be like, "Oh, I was doing it a certain way, and then all of a sudden I built this thing." And oftentimes it's like, "My partner and I use this app that I built," or, "I built a chief of staff app to keep track of my inbox," or, "I now manage the lights in my house using this thing.”
Speaker
Nikhyl Singhal
Publisher
Lenny's Podcast

16 / evaluation

When I started the group five years ago, we had, for the first two to three years, until we got to about 60, 70 people in this community of head of products, we had one founder.

“When I started the group five years ago, we had, for the first two to three years, until we got to about 60, 70 people in this community of head of products, we had one founder.”
Speaker
Nikhyl Singhal
Publisher
Lenny's Podcast

17 / evaluation

" I want people, this is an extension of our last conversation, is not only is it in vogue to be hands-on and I see it's kind of a necessity, I need everyone to sort of say, "Look, if everything's changing, it doesn't matter what we've done the past.

“" I want people, this is an extension of our last conversation, is not only is it in vogue to be hands-on and I see it's kind of a necessity, I need everyone to sort of say, "Look, if everything's changing, it doesn't matter what we've done the past.”
Speaker
Nikhyl Singhal
Publisher
Lenny's Podcast

18 / prediction

What I think about as you talk about this is, I don't know if you saw this, they asked all the heads of the AI labs like Demis, and Sam Altman, and Dario, just like, "Okay, if everybody agreed to slow down and stop this stuff, would you do it?

“What I think about as you talk about this is, I don't know if you saw this, they asked all the heads of the AI labs like Demis, and Sam Altman, and Dario, just like, "Okay, if everybody agreed to slow down and stop this stuff, would you do it?”
Speaker
Lenny Rachitsky
Publisher
Lenny's Podcast
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