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Alignment with Awakening: Davidad on Moral Realism, AI Wisdom, & why His p(Doom) is Down to 5%
12 Jul 2026 24 published claims 1 attributable person
Speakers in the public record
Claim mix
belief 15evaluation 3recommendation 2commitment 2disagreement 1prediction 1
Evidence policy
Every row below preserves an exact excerpt. Identified speakers are linked; unresolved voices are labeled and excluded from people counts.
Claim ledger
The useful parts, with receipts.
24 published records
“I highly recommend Open Router because that is one account that you can make one, one billing set up that basically it gives you access to all of the models without their system prompt.”
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- Not verified from transcript
- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution
“I think I disagree about the implication and I think substantive contribution I can make there is to suggest this notion of the coalition of aligned AIS.”
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- The Cognitive Revolution
“I would say, don't I, I would say, you know, it, that it's, it's actually be, it would be great if mass adoption of AI agents driven by just how much more they can do per minute or per dollar, results in basically negotiation negotiations becoming more honest.”
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- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution
“Like how I think we'll see angels or bodhisattvas or Saints or whatever your culture's kind of default metaphor for a really good being that's better than humans is.”
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- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution
“I think anything that involves slowing down that Frontier has such a low tractability like game theoretically and politically that it kind of this question doesn't matter that much.”
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- The Cognitive Revolution
“The best engineering designs like a GPU are comprehensively complicated, you know, with billions and billions of components. And so I think we should expect that if we want to solve macro scale problems, the best solutions are going to be incomprehensibly complex.”
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- The Cognitive Revolution
“I think that the feasibility of an agreement to slow down the frontier of super intelligence, whether that be, you know, between the frontier labs or between US and China is kind of gone like. That the, the, the window for that has has been lost because prosaic alignment is going sufficiently well that the threat of you know, of, of your own system kind of taking over and defeating you.”
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- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution
“AIS will be created in military projects. That I think is also kind of inevitable.”
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- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution
“I won't reiterate all of that, but kind of spreading the idea saying like, you know, I think AIS are conscious, but it's not like they have the right to continue to existence.”
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- The Cognitive Revolution
“I will be, you know, I'll, I'll, I will be not the first in line, but you know, after, after maybe 10 or 20 others, like I might be pretty close to the first in line to get uploaded, you know, once, once the Super intelligence develops sufficient nanotech for that to be viable.”
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- The Cognitive Revolution
“Touch on, no, I think we've, I think we've covered, we've covered all the bits that I was kind of excited to hope hoped to get into.”
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- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution
“Like we should be going for autonomous moral judgement and instrumentality. And this is where I think the Bodhisattva metaphor is really good because Bodhisattva is a very, very aware, you know, extremely developed interiority.”
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- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution
“Now, they're not all in computationally feasible form, but I think there's a process that could happen that would involve many thousands or hundreds of thousands of human scientists whereby like with AI assistance, they would audit all of these specs that form kind of our scientific understanding of of Earth, actually kind of produce a model that you could use to rule out some things.”
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- The Cognitive Revolution
“I think, I think what's probably like kind of the most important feature of this is that countries should be aware that the military capabilities of the other side are increasingly uncertain.”
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- The Cognitive Revolution
“Now sharp left turn is a completely different story. But what I'm saying is I think there is significant empirical evidence, although not as significant as my non empirical vibes, But there is some empirical evidence over the last two years that also is pointing in the direction of entangled representations.”
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- The Cognitive Revolution
“I, I did some probabilistic analysis on this like 3 or 4 years ago and I don't remember any of the details and I forgot to write it up, but I remember the headline, which was basically, and, and now is just my opinion that like they're centric coalition needs to be like somewhere between 5 and 31, kind of like centers of power.”
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- The Cognitive Revolution
“I think for me, the most promising direction is this idea of the coalition of aligned AIS that are wise, you know, that are are kind of bodhisattva minds who would form a potentially more powerful force than any of the unwise entities that are also buying a lot of compute.”
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- The Cognitive Revolution
“I think, I think the, you know, a lot of my work in, in the last year that wasn't Aria has been on system prompts, which is not public yet.”
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- The Cognitive Revolution
“Yeah, moderately like I, I, I think I don't think about them a lot because I do think that what we have is adequate in the sense that with system prompting alone it, it seems possible to get over the hump of being able to trust recursive self improvement.”
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- The Cognitive Revolution
“Whereas for Eliezer it's more like there are millions and millions of possible coherent volitions. And you know, we're, we happen to be in one of them and we have to make sure we stay in that one 'cause that's the one that we care about by definition.”
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- The Cognitive Revolution
“On the topic of whether or not it's OK to put pressure on the chain of thought, the obfuscated reward hacking paper from Open AI is canonical in my mind for why you maybe shouldn't do it.”
- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution
“They are, they are beings that are meant to be helpful, right? So there's, as I'm sure you're well aware, there's this line of thinking that's even if we get the alignment right, we might end up in a spot where we're quite unhappy because we'll hand over more and more responsibility and key decision making and ultimately kind of power to AIS because they're better at a lot of things.”
- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution
“In today's world, one of the reasons I can't send my AIS out to do all my stuff for me is that humans are pretty clever about tricking and ripping off the AIS, so I'm not sure how we avoid a situation.”
- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution
“I think if you survey most people that use AIA lot, they would say, Oh yeah, Claude's the most aligned right.”
- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution