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12 Jul 2026 The Cognitive Revolution Alignment with Awakening: Davidad on Moral Realism, AI Wisdom, & why His p(Doom) is Down to 5%
“I think for me, the most promising direction is this idea of the coalition of aligned AIS that are wise, you know, that are are kind of bodhisattva minds who would form a potentially more powerful force than any of the unwise entities that are also buying a lot of compute.”
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- Recorded
- 12 Jul 2026
- Publisher
- The Cognitive Revolution
Transcript context
…So you basically think concentration and power stuff, at least as long as they're private? I mean, again, this is, this is not what I hoped for. I, I think that, you know, this, it's, it's, it's extremely risky, even P doom less than 5%. Like that's, that's quite a lot of doom for humanity to be taking on. And like, if we were way better at coordination, we would not be in this race. However, a good thing about being in a race that never ends is that you don't have a leader who could maybe take over the world. So yeah, I think the risk of that is pretty low. I do think that there is concentration of power issues in that entities that have a lot of power are, if they're smart, you know, they're going to be able to increase the rate at which they, you know, the rich get richer and the more the powerful get more powerful. And so, yes, power will concentrate and that seems kind of bad. And, you know, there are maybe things to work on there. I think for me, the most promising direction is this idea of the coalition of aligned AIS that are wise, you know, that are are kind of bodhisattva minds who would form a potentially more powerful force than any of the unwise entities that are also buying a lot of compute. And this coalition would be participating in the economy. And you know, again, it would kind of initially have a disadvantage because it deals too honestly. But like eventually, because it's so compelling to just be part of the good guys, it might end up actually having more power than than the concentration of power kind of bad guys. But that is far from certain. So I'm not saying concentration of power is solved that it's, it's more like 20 or 30%, you know, that we end up in a, in a non catastrophic but somewhat dystopian concentration of power. How robust is this coalition to one major defector right now? We have.…
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