01 / recommendation

17 Mar 2026

We don't know yet, but I think you could roughly let the models run for, make predictions on same set of markets for a month or two and see which ones perform that percentage of predictions that were correct, P&L over time, etc.

“We don't know yet, but I think you could roughly let the models run for, make predictions on same set of markets for a month or two and see which ones perform that percentage of predictions that were correct, P&L over time, etc.”

Speaker: Tarek Mansour
Episode: Creating prediction markets (and suing the CFTC) with Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara
Publisher: Cheeky Pint

What Tarek said.

We don't know yet, but I think you could roughly let the models run for, make predictions on same set of markets for a month or two and see which ones perform that percentage of predictions that were correct, P&L over time, etc.