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Conversations with Tyler / episode intelligence

Charles C. Mann on Shaping Tomorrow's World and the Limits to Growth

31 Jan 2018 26 published claims 2 attributable people
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Speakers in the public record

Tyler CowenCharles C. Mann

Claim mix

belief 15evaluation 5preference 2prediction 2recommendation 1observation 1

Evidence policy

Every row below preserves an exact excerpt. Identified speakers are linked; unresolved voices are labeled and excluded from people counts.

Claim ledger

The useful parts, with receipts.

26 published records

04 / belief

I think her reputation is pretty sky high, so probably then she is overrated, but I feel like that’s almost like saying that I don’t like the Boston Red Sox.

“I think her reputation is pretty sky high, so probably then she is overrated, but I feel like that’s almost like saying that I don’t like the Boston Red Sox.”
Speaker
Charles C. Mann
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

06 / belief

California has 20 of these planned. And then these mega projects, which I think from a strictly economic cost-benefit or benefit-cost point of view, are kind of crazy, given the wastage.

“California has 20 of these planned. And then these mega projects, which I think from a strictly economic cost-benefit or benefit-cost point of view, are kind of crazy, given the wastage.”
Speaker
Charles C. Mann
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

07 / belief

If it turns out that there really are these overarching cycles, which seems to be the intuition of the ecologists who study this, then we have less room than we think.

“If it turns out that there really are these overarching cycles, which seems to be the intuition of the ecologists who study this, then we have less room than we think.”
Speaker
Charles C. Mann
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

08 / belief

Nobody seems to believe that. So if that’s the case and that stretches out as far as we can see, which is what they say — not that we can see that far — then if we can feed everybody and everybody’s in pretty good comfort by 2070 or whenever this point is, I think the optimists can declare victory, even though the pessimists could still be right in that there are limits.

“Nobody seems to believe that. So if that’s the case and that stretches out as far as we can see, which is what they say — not that we can see that far — then if we can feed everybody and everybody’s in pretty good comfort by 2070 or whenever this point is, I think the optimists can declare victory, even though the pessimists could still be right in that there are limits.”
Speaker
Charles C. Mann
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

12 / belief

I think your colleague is completely right that the population crashes that he’s talking about are going to face society as challenges they never faced before.

“I think your colleague is completely right that the population crashes that he’s talking about are going to face society as challenges they never faced before.”
Speaker
Charles C. Mann
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

14 / belief

Knowing that they’re going to arouse opposition, sometimes people who do this tend to like to pick a fight. So I think he picked fights sometimes where they weren’t needed, and not just in a political sense, but in the sense that he would very strongly take a position this way or that when the evidence wasn’t that clear.

“Knowing that they’re going to arouse opposition, sometimes people who do this tend to like to pick a fight. So I think he picked fights sometimes where they weren’t needed, and not just in a political sense, but in the sense that he would very strongly take a position this way or that when the evidence wasn’t that clear.”
Speaker
Charles C. Mann
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

15 / belief

My colleague, Robin Hanson, wonders if it isn’t one of the world’s biggest problems, that we’ll have too few children and too low a population. Countries such as Italy, I think, now have TFR of about 1.

“My colleague, Robin Hanson, wonders if it isn’t one of the world’s biggest problems, that we’ll have too few children and too low a population. Countries such as Italy, I think, now have TFR of about 1.”
Speaker
Tyler Cowen
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

17 / observation

If you get on the subways, you hear all the time these sort of chirpy female voices telling you something in Japanese. And when I lived there, I learned enough Japanese to realize they’re always saying, “Hey, let’s not talk on our phones, it’s so rude,” or “Hey, don’t do this .

“If you get on the subways, you hear all the time these sort of chirpy female voices telling you something in Japanese. And when I lived there, I learned enough Japanese to realize they’re always saying, “Hey, let’s not talk on our phones, it’s so rude,” or “Hey, don’t do this .”
Speaker
Charles C. Mann
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

19 / evaluation

I think that Bjorn Lomborg didn’t often grasp this in The Skeptical Environmentalist, which is something I’m familiar with, often would go beyond saying the evidence for this or that is weak to saying the evidence where it’s opposite, it must mean that the opposite is true.

“I think that Bjorn Lomborg didn’t often grasp this in The Skeptical Environmentalist, which is something I’m familiar with, often would go beyond saying the evidence for this or that is weak to saying the evidence where it’s opposite, it must mean that the opposite is true.”
Speaker
Charles C. Mann
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

20 / preference

I will tell you, as a college freshman, I had a summer job working in a movie theater, and I saw the movie Zardoz 100 times because I was stationed in the theater to stop people from sneaking in.

“I will tell you, as a college freshman, I had a summer job working in a movie theater, and I saw the movie Zardoz 100 times because I was stationed in the theater to stop people from sneaking in.”
Speaker
Charles C. Mann
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

21 / evaluation

Yes, our current president is obviously a counterexample against that, but people seem to be interested in kinds of collective action that I would not have guessed, both on the international front, which I think is very weak but still there, and on the regional front.

“Yes, our current president is obviously a counterexample against that, but people seem to be interested in kinds of collective action that I would not have guessed, both on the international front, which I think is very weak but still there, and on the regional front.”
Speaker
Charles C. Mann
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

23 / evaluation

Sorry, I live in western Massachusetts, and we have a boutique farm next to us that us yuppies support because we like Jeremy, and it’s all a sort of friendly but slightly ridiculous enterprise.

“Sorry, I live in western Massachusetts, and we have a boutique farm next to us that us yuppies support because we like Jeremy, and it’s all a sort of friendly but slightly ridiculous enterprise.”
Speaker
Charles C. Mann
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

24 / prediction

Every day, 24/7. So if that’s what your idea is, this is a ridiculous thing to worry about because people will not want to live in a world of hundreds of billions of people, that’s just too crowded to move.

“Every day, 24/7. So if that’s what your idea is, this is a ridiculous thing to worry about because people will not want to live in a world of hundreds of billions of people, that’s just too crowded to move.”
Speaker
Charles C. Mann
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

25 / evaluation

I’m not sure about the institutional frameworks because there is the problem of the greenfinger, as it’s called, which is that geoengineering is sufficiently cheap because all you need is a bunch of airplanes that an eccentric, rich person .

“I’m not sure about the institutional frameworks because there is the problem of the greenfinger, as it’s called, which is that geoengineering is sufficiently cheap because all you need is a bunch of airplanes that an eccentric, rich person .”
Speaker
Charles C. Mann
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

26 / prediction

It might make sense for us to just say, “Stop using coal altogether.” But I think that’s a much harder call in India and China and other parts of Southeast Asia.

“It might make sense for us to just say, “Stop using coal altogether.” But I think that’s a much harder call in India and China and other parts of Southeast Asia.”
Speaker
Charles C. Mann
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler
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