High Signal Podcasts Evidence ledger
Method
Browse
← All source episodes

Dwarkesh Podcast / episode intelligence

Michael Nielsen – How science actually progresses

7 Apr 2026 26 published claims 2 attributable people

Speakers in the public record

Claim mix

belief 12evaluation 6observation 4uncertainty 1prediction 1preference 1recommendation 1

Evidence policy

Every row below preserves an exact excerpt. Identified speakers are linked; unresolved voices are labeled and excluded from people counts.

Claim ledger

The useful parts, with receipts.

26 published records

05 / belief

Michelson-Morley is the famous result often presented as this experiment that was done in the 1880s that helped Einstein come up with the special theory of relativity a little bit later, changing the way we think about space and time and our fundamental conception of those things.

“Michelson-Morley is the famous result often presented as this experiment that was done in the 1880s that helped Einstein come up with the special theory of relativity a little bit later, changing the way we think about space and time and our fundamental conception of those things.”
Speaker
Michael Nielsen
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

06 / belief

I’m certainly interested in the fact that new types of progress keep becoming possible. But I think even there, there does still seem to be some phenomenon of diminishing returns.

“I’m certainly interested in the fact that new types of progress keep becoming possible. But I think even there, there does still seem to be some phenomenon of diminishing returns.”
Speaker
Michael Nielsen
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

07 / belief

What fraction uses linear representations versus a two-dimensional or a three-dimensional representation? I think the answers to these questions are just not at all obvious.

“What fraction uses linear representations versus a two-dimensional or a three-dimensional representation? I think the answers to these questions are just not at all obvious.”
Speaker
Michael Nielsen
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

10 / belief

I think Dean Keith Simonton has this famous equal odds rule where he says the probability that any given thing you release—any paper, book, whatever—will be extremely important for a given person through their lifetime is not that different.

“I think Dean Keith Simonton has this famous equal odds rule where he says the probability that any given thing you release—any paper, book, whatever—will be extremely important for a given person through their lifetime is not that different.”
Speaker
Dwarkesh Patel
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

17 / prediction

Second is it might not have been, but because our civilizational resources are so large, the amount of people is so large, the amount of money is so large, we can basically make the kind of progress it would have taken the ancients forever to make almost immediately.

“Second is it might not have been, but because our civilizational resources are so large, the amount of people is so large, the amount of money is so large, we can basically make the kind of progress it would have taken the ancients forever to make almost immediately.”
Speaker
Dwarkesh Patel
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

18 / observation

Then you’re going to start by doing the simplest possible stuff. It just turns out that a lot of that stuff doesn’t work very well, so you’re forced to go through these steps where gradually it gets more complicated, and it’s wrong in a variety of ways.

“Then you’re going to start by doing the simplest possible stuff. It just turns out that a lot of that stuff doesn’t work very well, so you’re forced to go through these steps where gradually it gets more complicated, and it’s wrong in a variety of ways.”
Speaker
Michael Nielsen
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

20 / evaluation

Then there’s the obvious stories where Einstein himself later on is said to have not latched onto the correct interpretations of quantum mechanics or cosmology because of his own attachments.

“Then there’s the obvious stories where Einstein himself later on is said to have not latched onto the correct interpretations of quantum mechanics or cosmology because of his own attachments.”
Speaker
Dwarkesh Patel
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

21 / evaluation

Because if it’s not discovered for a long time and then spontaneously many different people are coming up with it, that shows you that the building blocks were in some sense necessary.

“Because if it’s not discovered for a long time and then spontaneously many different people are coming up with it, that shows you that the building blocks were in some sense necessary.”
Speaker
Dwarkesh Patel
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

22 / evaluation

Lorentz has the math right, but the interpretation wrong. It seems like Poincaré had the opposite, where he understood that it’s hard to define simultaneity because it requires a circular definition with time, or velocity of something that might arrive at a midpoint together, but velocity is defined in terms of time.

“Lorentz has the math right, but the interpretation wrong. It seems like Poincaré had the opposite, where he understood that it’s hard to define simultaneity because it requires a circular definition with time, or velocity of something that might arrive at a midpoint together, but velocity is defined in terms of time.”
Speaker
Dwarkesh Patel
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

23 / evaluation

Second, just because horses have a comparative advantage mathematically does not mean that it is worth paying $100,000 a year, or whatever it costs to sustain a horse in San Francisco.

“Second, just because horses have a comparative advantage mathematically does not mean that it is worth paying $100,000 a year, or whatever it costs to sustain a horse in San Francisco.”
Speaker
Dwarkesh Patel
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

25 / recommendation

I think a good place to start will be Michelson-Morley and how special relativity is discovered, if it’s different from the story that you get off of YouTube videos.

“I think a good place to start will be Michelson-Morley and how special relativity is discovered, if it’s different from the story that you get off of YouTube videos.”
Speaker
Dwarkesh Patel
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

26 / evaluation

Young people flood in because you can be twenty-one and make major breakthroughs rather than having to spend twenty-five years mastering everything that’s been done before.

“Young people flood in because you can be twenty-one and make major breakthroughs rather than having to spend twenty-five years mastering everything that’s been done before.”
Speaker
Michael Nielsen
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast
Search evidence