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Lex Fridman Podcast / episode intelligence

#415 – Serhii Plokhy: History of Ukraine, Russia, Soviet Union, KGB, Nazis & War

4 Mar 2024 20 published claims 2 attributable people

Speakers in the public record

Claim mix

evaluation 10belief 4uncertainty 2prediction 2observation 1disagreement 1

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The useful parts, with receipts.

20 published records

01 / evaluation

” The book is called The Last Empire. So is there something fundamental about the way the world is that means it’s not conducive to the formation of empires?

“” The book is called The Last Empire. So is there something fundamental about the way the world is that means it’s not conducive to the formation of empires?”
Speaker
Lex Fridman
Publisher
Lex Fridman Podcast

02 / uncertainty

I don’t know whether President Zelensky at this point knows exactly what will come next, but this is the time when the change of the leadership in the country and in the army that is at war, it’s one of the most trying, most dangerous moments.

“I don’t know whether President Zelensky at this point knows exactly what will come next, but this is the time when the change of the leadership in the country and in the army that is at war, it’s one of the most trying, most dangerous moments.”
Speaker
Serhii Plokhy
Publisher
Lex Fridman Podcast

04 / observation

The reason is that back in the fall of 2022, Vladimir Putin included five of Ukrainian regions, oblasts, even those that he didn’t control or didn’t control fully into the Russian constitution, which basically in simple language is that the hands are tied up not only for Putin himself, but also for his possible successors.

“The reason is that back in the fall of 2022, Vladimir Putin included five of Ukrainian regions, oblasts, even those that he didn’t control or didn’t control fully into the Russian constitution, which basically in simple language is that the hands are tied up not only for Putin himself, but also for his possible successors.”
Speaker
Serhii Plokhy
Publisher
Lex Fridman Podcast

06 / evaluation

Then we see the realization of plan B, where parts of Ukrainian territory are being annexed and included in the Constitution of the Russian Federation. So the two scenarios don’t exclude each other, but if scenario number one doesn’t work, then scenario number two goes into play.

“Then we see the realization of plan B, where parts of Ukrainian territory are being annexed and included in the Constitution of the Russian Federation. So the two scenarios don’t exclude each other, but if scenario number one doesn’t work, then scenario number two goes into play.”
Speaker
Serhii Plokhy
Publisher
Lex Fridman Podcast

08 / belief

I mean, just to clarify, I think there is just a blunder on the Canadian Parliament side, the Canadian side, of not doing research of, maybe correct me if I’m wrong, but from my understanding, they were just doing stupid shallow political stuff.

“I mean, just to clarify, I think there is just a blunder on the Canadian Parliament side, the Canadian side, of not doing research of, maybe correct me if I’m wrong, but from my understanding, they were just doing stupid shallow political stuff.”
Speaker
Lex Fridman
Publisher
Lex Fridman Podcast

09 / belief

There are countries in between that join one bloc or another bloc that is emerging that is not fully formed. This, in my opinion, makes the task of us historians to really go back to the Cold War and look through new perspective on the history of that conflict because there is a lot of things that we can learn.

“There are countries in between that join one bloc or another bloc that is emerging that is not fully formed. This, in my opinion, makes the task of us historians to really go back to the Cold War and look through new perspective on the history of that conflict because there is a lot of things that we can learn.”
Speaker
Serhii Plokhy
Publisher
Lex Fridman Podcast

10 / evaluation

Next month we’re supposed to take place Ukrainian elections. They’re not taking place because the majority of Ukrainians don’t think this is the right thing to do, to change the president, to have the elections, to have a political struggle in the middle of the war.

“Next month we’re supposed to take place Ukrainian elections. They’re not taking place because the majority of Ukrainians don’t think this is the right thing to do, to change the president, to have the elections, to have a political struggle in the middle of the war.”
Speaker
Serhii Plokhy
Publisher
Lex Fridman Podcast

12 / evaluation

The missiles being fired, buildings catching fire, and the situation that brought the Fukushima disaster was there at Zaporizhzhia more than once, and Fukushima came because the reactors were shut down as they are at Zaporizhzhia, but they still needed electricity to bring water and to them down.

“The missiles being fired, buildings catching fire, and the situation that brought the Fukushima disaster was there at Zaporizhzhia more than once, and Fukushima came because the reactors were shut down as they are at Zaporizhzhia, but they still needed electricity to bring water and to them down.”
Speaker
Serhii Plokhy
Publisher
Lex Fridman Podcast

13 / prediction

You can buy a couple of weeks, you can buy a couple of months, but in the conditions like that Russia will come back tomorrow and will take over everything.

“You can buy a couple of weeks, you can buy a couple of months, but in the conditions like that Russia will come back tomorrow and will take over everything.”
Speaker
Serhii Plokhy
Publisher
Lex Fridman Podcast

15 / evaluation

After this scandal with Stashynsky, at least on many levels, the KGB stopped the practice of the assassinations, political assassinations abroad because it was considered politically to be extremely, extremely dangerous.

“After this scandal with Stashynsky, at least on many levels, the KGB stopped the practice of the assassinations, political assassinations abroad because it was considered politically to be extremely, extremely dangerous.”
Speaker
Serhii Plokhy
Publisher
Lex Fridman Podcast

16 / disagreement

All of this processes were interrelated, interconnected, but when people provide ideology as the explanation for all of these processes, that’s where I disagree, because ideological collapse happened on the territory of the Soviet Union in general.

“All of this processes were interrelated, interconnected, but when people provide ideology as the explanation for all of these processes, that’s where I disagree, because ideological collapse happened on the territory of the Soviet Union in general.”
Speaker
Serhii Plokhy
Publisher
Lex Fridman Podcast

17 / evaluation

Because deep down they maybe looked at Syria, they looked at Chechnya, and were explaining that through the fact that there was basically such a big cultural gap and difference between Russians and those countries and those nations.

“Because deep down they maybe looked at Syria, they looked at Chechnya, and were explaining that through the fact that there was basically such a big cultural gap and difference between Russians and those countries and those nations.”
Speaker
Serhii Plokhy
Publisher
Lex Fridman Podcast

18 / evaluation

I don’t know answer. But that’s the question that I think is interesting to answer, how Ukraine ended up to be the only country in the world, outside of Israel, who has a Jewish president who is, my at least understanding, is the most popular president in history, in terms of how his popularity goes after the election.

“I don’t know answer. But that’s the question that I think is interesting to answer, how Ukraine ended up to be the only country in the world, outside of Israel, who has a Jewish president who is, my at least understanding, is the most popular president in history, in terms of how his popularity goes after the election.”
Speaker
Serhii Plokhy
Publisher
Lex Fridman Podcast

19 / evaluation

By rebellion, absolutely, and that was the story pretty much before 1991. So what you see since 1991 and what you see today is I would say new factor, certainly in Ukrainian modern history.

“By rebellion, absolutely, and that was the story pretty much before 1991. So what you see since 1991 and what you see today is I would say new factor, certainly in Ukrainian modern history.”
Speaker
Serhii Plokhy
Publisher
Lex Fridman Podcast

20 / evaluation

Because it wasn’t just social revolution that’s how it’s understood in the US and good part of the world, it was also national revolution, it was an empire, it was a revolution in the Russian Empire.

“Because it wasn’t just social revolution that’s how it’s understood in the US and good part of the world, it was also national revolution, it was an empire, it was a revolution in the Russian Empire.”
Speaker
Serhii Plokhy
Publisher
Lex Fridman Podcast
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