Speakers in the public record
Claim mix
evaluation 11prediction 4belief 3uncertainty 2observation 2commitment 1preference 1
Evidence policy
Every row below preserves an exact excerpt. Identified speakers are linked; unresolved voices are labeled and excluded from people counts.
Claim ledger
The useful parts, with receipts.
24 published records
“People complain about this as, “Look, the US has this hollowed-out manufacturing base.” But it’s much better to have industries which are left behind so that the whole economy as a whole can be more dynamic and move on than the Soviet Union where the entire thing became a rust belt because they couldn’t move on.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“If it had tanked Cold War termination or upset the reunification of Germany, France and Britain might have been very happy, because François Mitterrand, who is the president of France, and Margaret Thatcher, prime minister of Britain, were against German unification.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“If you’re working for a subunit of an enterprise, you have to lie about the inventories you have, saying you have less than you do, and then you have to lie about what you need, saying you need more than you do because you’re worried about getting enough things.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“Turns out the domino theory did not apply to capitalism. It applied to communism because once the democratic contagion hit one Warsaw Pact country in Eastern Europe, it spread to the others until it was a seething mess and they fell like dominoes.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“Truly, economics is a blind spot for the Soviets. Because think about it, when the tsars ran the show, it’s like a riff off the Mongol Empire.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I think there should be big deductions for podcasts. It should count for research and development.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“If we’re going to dump all our allies for unknown reasons and just alienate them so they organize without us… If we’re going to just throw away entire institutions without thinking very carefully about what we’re doing… We become a cooperative adversary and we will be the bozo putting a plastic bag on our own head.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I don’t know the answer of why we had such massive redundancy in these nuclear weapons, why the arsenals were so massive.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“” Then here’s a journalist, Teimuraz Stepanov, who said, “Look, I think from the beginning the genes of disintegration were contained in the genetics of this governmental political formation.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“What he’s done will take a generation at minimum to get to anywhere where people are going to be thinking about… People will be talking about reparations from Russia for quite a while and they’re poor, they’re not going to want to do that.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“The problem is, then they win the civil war, they’re in power, they annihilate the opposition, but then it produces compounding poverty thereafter.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I think the even more interesting question is why a system that was so centrally planned, monstrously inefficient, brutal, a colonial land empire, how such a country could survive for so long into the 20th century.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“Good old Adam Smith, the invisible hand. Prices are the way to go and markets, it’s more efficient.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“You had this previous lecture that you gave on the Indo-Pakistani chapter in history where we had to alienate India in order to fend off against the Soviet Union in this little episode. I don’t know what the solution to this is.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“In ‘59, they discovered these massive oil fields in Siberia. And then from 1973 to 1985, I think, 80% of the Soviet Union’s hard currency earnings were just from oil.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“One theory I heard that is complementary to your theory is that Gorbachev is instituting reforms because he thinks there should be decentralization and democratization, but he doesn’t fundamentally believe in the market system.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“I think there was an understanding it was terrible, but I think there’s this exuberance of thinking it’s going to get much better.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“There’s so much that needs reforming there. But part of it, I think, is because he wanted to do political reforms.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“Especially if you look at the satellite states, they had all of this happen to them and worse because now they’re getting invaded.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“Now the problem is you’re going to get into reparations for the horrors they’ve inflicted.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“A steel factory would then be incentivized to make thicker bars of steel rather than thinner bars because that would count as greater production, except a lot of inputs actually do require the thinner sheets.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“The way deterrence theory worked during the Cold War, and I believe now as well, is that in order to deter the other side, you have to have a reliable second-strike capability.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“They make those big investments and it takes a while for them to pay off. That was a big deal because they needed help from Western oil companies or whoever does the gas pipelines, compressors, whatever it is you need.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
“If you’re smart, you’re looking for win-wins of things where you both benefit because that’ll incentivize the other side to join in.”
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast