Public evidence record
Published podcast speaker
Claim ledger
5 transcript-backed records
01 / prediction
“That's a lot, right? So we should definitely be considering scenarios that are sooner, right, and particularly, I think the sooner AGI happens, the more dangerous it might be, right?”
02 / prediction
“Which, by the way, is predicated on this idea that verification is easier than generation, P versus NP, blah, blah, blah, especially if you can see the other person's thoughts and they can't see yours. It does make sense to be at the frontier from that perspective, but I will say that I think the main reason that the companies are doing this is obviously to make money.”
03 / prediction
“I will say this, that like amplifiers, while not currently the most in demand across all different hierarchies of AI safety organization or team are, I think, probably in the next year or two going to be the most in demand.”
04 / prediction
“Epoch recently did a study where they showed the pace of new AI companies approaching the frontier is just so much faster than the pace of which the frontier moves because there's an abundance of chips, there's an abundance of data and methods.”
05 / prediction
“I think building a second species is actually going to violate some deep social more in the same way that human cloning would be, but I don't think people will see it that way. So that leaves us with the fact that we actually have to build the AGI because But if we can build products that are safer, right, or perhaps are under some strict regulatory control that we have some like really like ideally like, I don't know, 10 year international slow phased entry to the new AGI world, right, where all these, you know, countries and companies are kind of forced to be very careful and collaborative in the way that they align their models, then we're in a much better world.”