book / likes
Mistakes Were Made (But Not by Me)
“So a stranger book, which I love, sort of on the verge of psychology, it's called Mistakes Were Made (But Not by Me), about all the fallacies that we fall into, and the humbling results from that.”
Public evidence record
Ronny Kohavi
Published podcast speaker
- Claims
- 18
- Episodes
- 1
- Shows
- 1
- Named items
- 2
Books, apps, and tools
The evidenced stack.
book / likes
Hard Facts, Dangerous Half-Truths And Total Nonsense
“There's a fun book called Calling Bullshit, which despite the name, which is a little extreme, I think, for a title, it actually has a lot of amazing insights that I love. And it sort of embodies, in my opinion, a lot of the Twyman's law showing that things that are too extreme, your bullshit meter should go up and say, "Hey, I don't believe that." So that's my number one recommendation. There's a slightly older book that I love called Hard Facts, Dangerous Half-Truths And Total Nonsense by the Stanford professors from the Graduate School of Business. Very interesting to see many of the things that we grew up with as well understood turn out to have no justification. So a stranger book, which I love, sort of on the verge of psychology, it's called Mistakes Were Made (But Not by Me), about all the fallacies that we fall into, and the humbling results from that.”
Claim ledger
What Ronny said.
2 transcript-backed records
01 / prediction
If in peace time you're wrong two thirds to 80% of the time, why would you be subtly right in wartime, in Covid time? So I don't believe in the idea that because bookings went down materially, the company should suddenly not be data driven and do things differently.
“If in peace time you're wrong two thirds to 80% of the time, why would you be subtly right in wartime, in Covid time? So I don't believe in the idea that because bookings went down materially, the company should suddenly not be data driven and do things differently.”
- Speaker
- Ronny Kohavi
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast
02 / prediction
Hold that dinner, investigate, see, because there's a large probability that something is wrong with the result. And I will say that nine out of 10, when we call it Twyman's law, it is the case that we find some flaw in the experiment.
“Hold that dinner, investigate, see, because there's a large probability that something is wrong with the result. And I will say that nine out of 10, when we call it Twyman's law, it is the case that we find some flaw in the experiment.”
- Speaker
- Ronny Kohavi
- Publisher
- Lenny's Podcast