Public evidence record
Published podcast speaker
Claim ledger
22 transcript-backed records
01 / evaluation
“It’s more decentralized than the US’s. And I think more broadly, a big misunderstanding is really the relationship between Chinese people and authority.”
02 / prediction
“The patience, I don’t need to explain, because I think the political continuity means that they can make plans for two decades ahead, right?”
03 / observation
“They hold that crucial key. And I think what was very surprising for most of the Western audience is that when I mentioned about the mayor economy, they say, “Why don’t our American mayors in each city do these very radical things and then push for GDP growth and technology innovation?”
04 / evaluation
“The amount of waste of investment plowed into these companies that will ultimately just go under, but also the misallocation- … Ultimately, just go under, but also the misallocation of resources, because it’s led by the state, are some of the downsides, but I guess on balance, it’s been positive, because look at China’s internal combustion engine effort.”
05 / belief
“I think that I don’t have a lot of views around this, but I just say this, I think there’s more political wisdom of the Chinese government side than we assume outside of China. And that strategic ambiguity, but also strategic patience, especially given China’s economic situation currently means that more likely or not, I think that if China does really well economically.”
06 / evaluation
“When I was doing my PhD at Harvard, people would say, “Oh, my parents say don’t work so hard.”
07 / belief
“I think we’re going to get into this, but it’s no longer going to just be manufacturing.”
08 / belief
“Families have only one son. And I think to assume that the Chinese people desire and would be able to forsake that generation for unification purposes, or be able to tolerate lost lives for this, I think is also a bit of an exaggeration in stress.”
09 / belief
“I think our newspapers, even though there’s bias everywhere, is not focused only on reporting the really bad stuff and portraying a negative side.”
10 / belief
“Now, I wish the world is not… We don’t have to drive each other to the corners to do something great, but that is the reality. And I don’t think that there’s an easy say between who wins because I think the winning idea is part of the old playbook.”
11 / belief
“Otherwise, you’d be questioning the level of intelligence of the US administration. But I think that the things they laid out did the opposite of what was intended.”
12 / observation
“Not the other way around, which was true for the pre-1990 sample. And the reason is that these aging societies much more rapidly adopted new technologies, automation that actually helped the entire economy.”
13 / belief
“The potential negative ramifications are there, but I think personal protection is a big difference.”
14 / belief
“I think that there is a real problem in global trading system and globalization in general that is not going to be resolved by tariffs.”
15 / preference
“The Chinese at least really care about respect. And I wish there was just a bit more cultural fluency, and I think a lot of things would be so much easier between the two countries, just understanding that because you can actually push China to do a lot of things, all within reason that would work in favor of the US, but understand that respect is vitally important.”
16 / prediction
“They care about values, and these companies, these very successful companies, successful in five years, ten years, found themselves in a very difficult position after a longer period of time. That short, flat, fast attitude, which was so popular, especially before the pandemic, that’s actually somewhat disappearing, so in some sense, this economic downturn is not that bad for China, because it made the Chinese realize that it’s not always going to go up, and it made them really look down deeper into what they really should be focused on, that there will be cycles, there will be up and downs, and so these very short-termist thinking and opportunistic way of driving business will ultimately fail.”
17 / evaluation
“Deng Xiaoping was by far our most pragmatic leader and I think everybody’s grateful to Deng Xiaoping.”
18 / commitment
“I think that people have to be clear about also what China thinks and wants, and also the Chinese to be clear about what Trump wants, although I don’t know anybody, even Trump himself knows exactly what he wants, in order for these very complex negotiations to actually succeed.”
19 / evaluation
“If China were relatively successful economically, a huge part of the reason is by and large, it’s been meritocratic. That is changing somewhat now, but the only way that you have still that many poor people, especially a couple of decades back, still be in harmony with society, seeing all these rich people make tons of money and you’re still belonging to that lower stratum.”
20 / evaluation
“I feel that in the Chinese education system, it was not necessarily efficient because it frames you and molds you to be thinking in a certain way what’s been taught to you.”
21 / evaluation
“It goes from invention to production and commercialization and diffusion, diffusing technology throughout all parts of the economy. And on those two stages, I think that China has a unique advantage, even if it still can’t do the zero to one breakthroughs, because in the end, how much this technology is adopted by the countries and by the various parts of the economy is fundamentally crucial to how much productivity will be unleashed.”
22 / evaluation
“In China, if the coffee shop does well, everybody wants to open the same coffee shop. And I think, again, I’m sure we’re going to get to this, but there’s a lot of that kind of competition, which really drives the world sometimes crazy of replication.”