High Signal Podcasts Evidence ledger
Method
Browse
How the evidence works

Public evidence record

Dan Balsam

Published podcast speaker

Claims
31
Episodes
1
Shows
1
Named items
4

Books, apps, and tools

The evidenced stack.

Browse the grouped index →

tool / uses

Fable

“I use Kimi k three. Like, I use Opus and Fable and Soul and Kimi k three for different things.”

The Cognitive Revolution · 8 Aug 2026

Evidence receipt · Source ↗

tool / uses

Opus

“I use Kimi k three. Like, I use Opus and Fable and Soul and Kimi k three for different things.”

The Cognitive Revolution · 8 Aug 2026

Evidence receipt · Source ↗

tool / uses

Soul

“I use Kimi k three. Like, I use Opus and Fable and Soul and Kimi k three for different things.”

The Cognitive Revolution · 8 Aug 2026

Evidence receipt · Source ↗

tool / uses

Kimi k three

“I use Kimi k three. Like, I use Opus and Fable and Soul and Kimi k three for different things.”

The Cognitive Revolution · 8 Aug 2026

Evidence receipt · Source ↗

Claim ledger

What Dan said.

19 transcript-backed records

02 / belief

I see I see absolutely no reason that anyone should be particularly confident on on this topic. Given the potential downside, I think intellectual humility is important.

“I see I see absolutely no reason that anyone should be particularly confident on on this topic. Given the potential downside, I think intellectual humility is important.”
Speaker
Dan Balsam
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

03 / belief

I think the JSPACE results have not there was like a weak version of the JSPACE claim which is true and it's very interesting and it's really good work.

“I think the JSPACE results have not there was like a weak version of the JSPACE claim which is true and it's very interesting and it's really good work.”
Speaker
Dan Balsam
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

04 / belief

In in in the same way that they though the mechanisms with which they happened were weird and surprising, I think the mechanisms with which bio risk could suddenly become real are weird and surprising.

“In in in the same way that they though the mechanisms with which they happened were weird and surprising, I think the mechanisms with which bio risk could suddenly become real are weird and surprising.”
Speaker
Dan Balsam
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

05 / belief

We're we're we're a start up where we are still figuring out a lot the details as we go, but I think we're gonna be pretty generous here and give a lot of folks who we think are doing important work, especially in in those impactful domains, extended access.

“We're we're we're a start up where we are still figuring out a lot the details as we go, but I think we're gonna be pretty generous here and give a lot of folks who we think are doing important work, especially in in those impactful domains, extended access.”
Speaker
Dan Balsam
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

06 / belief

Speculating, but this seems to be the most likely cause of the OpenAI scenario. And, yeah, I think however of hindsight, but I think that that's most of the extremely bad scenarios I can imagine is because agents start working with each other in ways that they were that are imperceptible to humans, and that type of direct optimization pressure, I think, is, like, very likely to produce that.

“Speculating, but this seems to be the most likely cause of the OpenAI scenario. And, yeah, I think however of hindsight, but I think that that's most of the extremely bad scenarios I can imagine is because agents start working with each other in ways that they were that are imperceptible to humans, and that type of direct optimization pressure, I think, is, like, very likely to produce that.”
Speaker
Dan Balsam
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

07 / belief

We decided to make that accessible and decided that's what we believe is the product and the service that we can offer to the world is fundamentally AIs that can debug other AIs. It's a little meta, but I think in many ways, this is like the fulfillment of, I think, what was sort of the intuitive natural arc of things as soon as AI started working a few years ago.

“We decided to make that accessible and decided that's what we believe is the product and the service that we can offer to the world is fundamentally AIs that can debug other AIs. It's a little meta, but I think in many ways, this is like the fulfillment of, I think, what was sort of the intuitive natural arc of things as soon as AI started working a few years ago.”
Speaker
Dan Balsam
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

09 / belief

I think we have a really incredible team at Goodfire. And, yeah, everyone here, like, really believes in the mission and is working really hard, and that's always extremely motivating.

“I think we have a really incredible team at Goodfire. And, yeah, everyone here, like, really believes in the mission and is working really hard, and that's always extremely motivating.”
Speaker
Dan Balsam
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

11 / belief

I think there's a pretty big qualitative difference, and hopefully, we can find ways to make this more quantitative too on when you turn on the auto research feature in Silico.

“I think there's a pretty big qualitative difference, and hopefully, we can find ways to make this more quantitative too on when you turn on the auto research feature in Silico.”
Speaker
Dan Balsam
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

12 / belief

I wish there is a clean, easy answer, but I would say, like, I think I'm still in we're still in the era where I think open source is, like, purely net positive, and I'm I'm glad that these open source models exist.

“I wish there is a clean, easy answer, but I would say, like, I think I'm still in we're still in the era where I think open source is, like, purely net positive, and I'm I'm glad that these open source models exist.”
Speaker
Dan Balsam
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

14 / belief

If we live in a world where, like, we can build something where agents are so capable that they can conduct, like, long meet the type of, like, impactful long horizon research and say, discovers a cure to a disease entirely by themselves with no human intervention, I think there will be enough demand to for the for the tokens in in that world.

“If we live in a world where, like, we can build something where agents are so capable that they can conduct, like, long meet the type of, like, impactful long horizon research and say, discovers a cure to a disease entirely by themselves with no human intervention, I think there will be enough demand to for the for the tokens in in that world.”
Speaker
Dan Balsam
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

15 / belief

I think we we need to do a better job as a company of, like like, really, like, marketing, communicating all the different value props that can be be achieved here.

“I think we we need to do a better job as a company of, like like, really, like, marketing, communicating all the different value props that can be be achieved here.”
Speaker
Dan Balsam
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

17 / belief

I think one of the, like, very odd things about the AI era from an engineering perspective is, like, the the classic engineering advice is, like, build for specificity and then generalize.

“I think one of the, like, very odd things about the AI era from an engineering perspective is, like, the the classic engineering advice is, like, build for specificity and then generalize.”
Speaker
Dan Balsam
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution

19 / belief

I think the easiest way to think about it is yeah. Like, it's a generalization of an SAE where an SAE assumes that features are one dimensional.

“I think the easiest way to think about it is yeah. Like, it's a generalization of an SAE where an SAE assumes that features are one dimensional.”
Speaker
Dan Balsam
Publisher
The Cognitive Revolution
Search evidence