Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedMike Israetel: belief
24 Dec 2025 Machine Learning Street Talk "I Desperately Want To Live In The Matrix" - Dr. Mike Israetel
“I have a very unique take. I think ASI is coming in 2627 and AGI is coming in 2930 maybe '31.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Mike Israetel
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 24 Dec 2025
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
Transcript context
…Let's go. Don't you fucking What is this? Are you out of your mind? What is this? Alright. 1 more round. Switch. Switch. Last round. Marcus, back down and start doing push ups. God damn it. Fuck is wrong with you. 3 more. Let's go 3 more each. 1. Super deep. 2. Last 1. 3. Fuck. Yes. Beautiful. We did our workout earlier. Am I the least technically qualified guest you guys have ever had? I must be top 5. Like, ask a very distinguished exercise scientist like, hey, how many reps should I do on curls? And they're like, I just study 1 pathway of muscle hypertrophy and I know it real well. I just go to the job my job, do experiments, And I don't lift weights or know much about that and you're like, oh fuck. The the the generalization did not go anywhere. I'll I'll be here defending San Francisco, which is an odd statement to make. I have a very unique take. I think ASI is coming in 2627 and AGI is coming in 2930 maybe '31. Yeah. You spoke about this with Liron. Why is AGI after ASI?…
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