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Sarah Paine: preference

25 Jul 2025 Dwarkesh Podcast Sarah Paine — How Imperial Japan defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

“There's all kinds of expertise and it's important. But if I take a really good hairdresser and make them an auto mechanic, or the auto mechanic a hairdresser, it is not going to work out well.”

— Sarah Paine

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Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Sarah Paine
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
preference
Recorded
25 Jul 2025
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

Transcript context

…Welcome to San Francisco, Sarah. One variant of hubris A is, I'm an American. I don't need to consult any other country. It's just whatever Washington does or doesn't do. That determines how the world works. It's half-court tennis. It ignores what the other team's doing, and it doesn't work out well. Then there's Silicon Valley, or whatever it is, a different variant. It's what I call Type 2 hubris. “I'm incredibly talented in one area” which he is, he’s incredibly talented or whatever. He's made himself a household word. Not everyone can do that. But you're thinking, “Because I'm good at one thing, this is transferable to everything else.” I got news. There's all kinds of expertise and it's important. But if I take a really good hairdresser and make them an auto mechanic, or the auto mechanic a hairdresser, it is not going to work out well. You have to line these things up correctly. This type 2 hubris is thinking, “I'm smart at one thing, and therefore I can do everything.” These people are making decisions in areas where they have no expertise, and it will not work out well. Great place to close.…

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