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Published · transcript-backed

Sarah Paine: uncertainty

23 Jan 2025 Dwarkesh Podcast Sarah Paine — Why Japan lost WWII (lecture & interview)

“I'm telling you, I suspect the outcome wouldn't have been better, but I don't know.”

— Sarah Paine

Source trail

Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Sarah Paine
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
uncertainty
Recorded
23 Jan 2025
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

Transcript context

…Morally, I agree, we don't want to like, they don't own our oil. The question is, it's not about are they are entitled to it. It's like, should we have given it to them? Would the outcome have been better if we did? I'm telling you, I suspect the outcome wouldn't have been better, but I don't know. And you're asking me things where my experience is, I'm just a professor. I just show up at seminar on time, and I try to do reading and prep. And my experience has not been in government, let alone at the highest echelons of government, of what's feasible and what's not feasible. And the answers I've given you are where I'm at, but I can't tell you more. All right.…

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