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Tyler Cowen: belief

9 Jan 2025 Dwarkesh Podcast Tyler Cowen — The #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans

“I suspect those scores, adjusted for that, are roughly constant, which is still not great.”

— Tyler Cowen

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Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Tyler Cowen
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
belief
Recorded
9 Jan 2025
Publisher
Dwarkesh Podcast

Transcript context

…It seems concerning then, the composition, that the average goes down. If you look at PISA scores or something. The median goes down. A lot of tests, they've pushed more people into taking the test -- PISA scores in particular. I suspect those scores, adjusted for that, are roughly constant, which is still not great. I agree. I think there's some decline. Some of it is pandemic, and we're recovering a bit slowly, getting back to human bottlenecks. But I think a lot of the talk of declining test scores is somewhat overblown. At most, there's a very modest decline, I would say. If the top is getting better, what do you make of the anecdotal data he was talking about yesterday where the Stanford kids come up to him and say, "All my friends, they're stupid. You can't hire anybody from Stanford anymore." That should be the cream of the crop, right?…

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