Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedTyler Cowen: belief
9 Jan 2025 Dwarkesh Podcast Tyler Cowen — The #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans
“I suspect those scores, adjusted for that, are roughly constant, which is still not great.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Tyler Cowen
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 9 Jan 2025
- Publisher
- Dwarkesh Podcast
Transcript context
…It seems concerning then, the composition, that the average goes down. If you look at PISA scores or something. The median goes down. A lot of tests, they've pushed more people into taking the test -- PISA scores in particular. I suspect those scores, adjusted for that, are roughly constant, which is still not great. I agree. I think there's some decline. Some of it is pandemic, and we're recovering a bit slowly, getting back to human bottlenecks. But I think a lot of the talk of declining test scores is somewhat overblown. At most, there's a very modest decline, I would say. If the top is getting better, what do you make of the anecdotal data he was talking about yesterday where the Stanford kids come up to him and say, "All my friends, they're stupid. You can't hire anybody from Stanford anymore." That should be the cream of the crop, right?…
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