High Signal Podcasts Evidence ledger
Method
Browse
← Back to evidence

Evidence receipt / belief

Published · transcript-backed

Tyler Cowen: belief

30 Apr 2025 Conversations with Tyler Kenneth Rogoff on Monetary Moves, Fiscal Gambits, and Classical Chess

“I think he has a 30 percent or 40 percent chance of being not a truly dominant player, but say the way Anand or Kramnik were at their peak.”

— Tyler Cowen

Source trail

Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Tyler Cowen
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
belief
Recorded
30 Apr 2025
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

Transcript context

…He’s not even nearly first now, even among others. There’re a number of Indian players who are very good. I wouldn’t put him ahead of Nakamura or Caruana, much less Carlsen. But he’s ambitious. He’s talented. I wish him the best. It’s wonderful that he won, but he has got a long way to go to beat Kasparov, Fischer, Carlsen. It’d be fabulous for chess if he does that. I don’t see it yet. Do you? Well, Nakamura, Caruana — in five years, they’ll be out of the scene, maybe before then. Carlsen is already, in a sense, out of the scene. I think he has a 30 percent or 40 percent chance of being not a truly dominant player, but say the way Anand or Kramnik were at their peak. One of the top two or three very consistently, and world champion for some number of cycles. Not the way Kasparov was, but something quite impressive. I’m close to thinking that. It’d be fantastic. I thought you were asking a different question.…

Stored transcript either side of the excerpt. The highlighted words are the published quote; the surrounding text is unedited source, never generated.

Search evidence