Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedAustan Goolsbee: belief
25 Jun 2025 Conversations with Tyler Austan Goolsbee on Central Banking as a Data Dog
“I think, in my experience, where the greatest opportunities arise in the short run are on things where, in a way, there’s not a correct answer.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Austan Goolsbee
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 25 Jun 2025
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler
Transcript context
…Analysis. If it’s judgment, fundamentally, I’m skeptical of magic. I think, in my experience, where the greatest opportunities arise in the short run are on things where, in a way, there’s not a correct answer. The hallucination problem, I think, is actually an extremely damaging problem for a lot of applications of AI. I’ve seen you describe the joy that you felt in being able to ask about historical — what was the cause of the Boer War? — and that it would answer questions. But how do you balance that off of, what if it’s giving you bogus answers? I think o1 Pro hallucinates less, say, than what’s in JSTOR.…
Stored transcript either side of the excerpt. The highlighted words are the published quote; the surrounding text is unedited source, never generated.