Public evidence record
Published podcast speaker
Claim ledger
11 transcript-backed records
01 / uncertainty
“I don't know if it's intrinsic to the matter or if you could’ve had some system that wouldn't have been co-opted in the long-term.”
02 / commitment
“If you're thinking that we've got ten years till the end of history, then don't broadly try and promote better values. But, we should have a very significant probability mass on the idea that we will not hit some historical end of this century.”
03 / evaluation
“If you've got a dictatorship, then you've got single person ruling the society. That means it's heavily contingent on the views, values, beliefs, and personality of that person.”
04 / evaluation
“Perhaps if the Industrial Revolution happened in India, rather than in Western Europe, then perhaps we wouldn't have wide-scale factory farming—which I think is a moral atrocity.”
05 / evaluation
“One argument for why Baghdad lost its Scientific Golden Age is because the political landscape changed such that what was incentivized was theological investigation rather than scientific investigation in the 10th/11th century AD.”
06 / prediction
“If there’s a culture that's into making textiles in an automated way as opposed to England in the 18th century, then that economy will take over the world.”
07 / preference
“My view goes the opposite of the Burkean view. We are cultural creatures in our nature, and are very inclined to agree with what other people think even if we don't understand the underlying mechanisms.”
08 / evaluation
“I think you can do both research and education far better than it currently exists. It's extremely hard to break in or creating something that's very prestigious because the leading universities are hundreds of years old.”
09 / prediction
“We will only get that information in a thousand-years time because we're talking about impactful strategies for the long-term.”
10 / prediction
“The point in time (which may be sooner than we think) where the rulers of the world are digital rather than biological, that [ideological conformity] could persist.”
11 / disagreement
“I dispute that. It's not something I can give a completely knock-down argument to because we don’t know when we will find out who's right.”