Public evidence record
Published podcast speaker
Claim ledger
6 transcript-backed records
01 / prediction
“Pretty confident in 10 years or so, with the CRISPR gene editing technologies will be ready for massively multiplexed edits. We'll start navigating in this high-dimensional space as much as we like.”
02 / prediction
“I don't know if you’ve ever done deep learning or high-dimensional optimization, but in that high-dimensional space, you're often moving on a slightly-tilted surface.”
03 / prediction
“” The most direct application of this is in the following setting: Every year around the world, millions of families go through IVF—typically because they're having some fertility issues, and also mainly because the mother is in her 30s or maybe 40s.”
04 / prediction
“Let me point out that most of the diseases we care about now—not the rare ones, but the common ones—manifest when you're 50-60 years old.”
05 / prediction
“I think we’re going to evolve to a point where we are going to be out of the wet part of this business and only in the cloud and bit part of this business.”
06 / prediction
“Once we have my prediction from this earlier math that I was talking about, when you get to a border a million, it could be 1 million or 2 million well-phenotyped people and genomes, we would be able to build a pretty decent IQ predictor that might have a standard error of maybe 10 points or something.”