Public evidence record
Published podcast speaker
Claim ledger
23 transcript-backed records
01 / belief
“From a justice perspective and also from the perspective of trying to think about ultimately how might you change something like that. At that age, I think I was too young to put those pieces together.”
02 / belief
“As I was saying earlier, while experience is one predictor of teachers’ impacts, in a way a much more important predictor are these value-added or other types of measures of performance. And I think tying pay or bonuses or efforts to retain teachers to performance measures — whether they’re test-score-based, value-added measures, or principal ratings or something else — is quite sensible.”
03 / belief
“One, we find that areas with more concentrated poverty — take the city of Baltimore, for example — we find very poor outcomes for boys in particular, relative to girls, and we think that that has to do with crime, and getting involved in gangs, and so forth — things that girls are less likely to do.”
04 / belief
“I think most westerners’ perception of India is based on North India: Taj Mahal, Delhi, Agra, so forth.”
05 / belief
“I know other people have had different experiences, but to me that’s the main thing I think of.”
06 / belief
“I learned through that experience that while science was fascinating and extremely important, I was more excited about the statistical aspects of that work rather than the staining itself or the pipetting or the microscopy.”
07 / belief
“I think Bob correctly points out that there are lots of trends going in a direction that might have led you to think that this would be getting worse over time.”
08 / belief
“I think the existence of dividends itself is a bit of a puzzle, and our paper, which shows that changes in tax rates affect the amount of dividends firms pay out, doesn’t fully address that puzzle.”
09 / belief
“I think the other thing that’s extremely important is, we spend a lot of time on trying to achieve clarity.”
10 / belief
“I think that kind of mechanism is actually extremely important in terms of what children choose to do.”
11 / uncertainty
“Now, this is a bit of conjecture — I don’t know whether that’s exactly the mechanism — but what I can tell you is what does seem to persist are these gains in terms of student’s non-cognitive skills.”
12 / belief
“What about it speaks to me? I think the combination of Eastern and Western influences on music.”
13 / belief
“At some abstract level, I think that logic has to be right, that eventually, in order to raise the level of education beyond some point, we’re going to have to spend more and more on that, but I don’t think we’re close enough empirically to such a point that that is really a critical consideration at the moment.”
14 / belief
“I think some of the most important questions in economics and social science have not yet been fully answered, and the recent availability of big data of various types allows us, for the first time, to tackle those classic questions.”
15 / recommendation
“In contrast, there’s some very nice work by Bruce Sacerdote, an economist at Dartmouth, looking at Korean adoptee kids who were effectively randomly assigned to families because of quirks and ordering of families’ applications and so forth.”
16 / preference
“Now, what I think is striking about Teach for America is, the reason it’s so effective in attracting top talent is precisely because it’s very difficult to get into Teach for America.”
17 / recommendation
“Learning and getting them on a path to be kind of the superstars in the economy who are starting the new companies, discovering the new drugs, and so forth. So, while I would not advocate tracking at the broadest level across 95 percent of the distribution, I think there can be a role at the very top to give attention to gifted and talented kids, especially, I would say, from disadvantaged backgrounds, where often you don’t have the stimulation and the resources, if you’re a very smart kid at an early age.”
18 / evaluation
“We take pride in the fact that subsequent studies do not end up showing, “Oh, there was some assumption made that ends up being questionable,” or “The data is not quite up to par,” etc.”
19 / prediction
“Companies recognize that, when the tax is added at the end, it’s in their favor because consumers don’t cut back on demand as much as if the tax was included in the price, and that would force companies to basically cut prices and bear some of the costs of the tax.”
20 / preference
“The way to make progress on complex research problems, for example, is to divide them into smaller, manageable problems, and then go down a list and solve that checklist.”
21 / evaluation
“I think, once again, seeing those disparities made me wonder how much of where I will end up in life happens to be because of having the opportunity to go to this school as opposed to going to some other school within that city.”
22 / prediction
“I think perhaps, although I would think the salience model would push you towards wanting to change prices more in some ways, because if consumers aren’t paying attention, in essence you’re facing an inelastic demand curve in the short run, and so you might want to catch them by surprise and occasionally have higher prices or lower prices.”
23 / recommendation
“For instance, you need to constrain managers — the amount of capital managers have on hand — because otherwise there’s a tendency to empire-build and invest in projects that aren’t as efficient from the shareholder’s perspective as you might otherwise like.”