Public evidence record
Published podcast speaker
Claim ledger
14 transcript-backed records
01 / belief
“Meanwhile, the economics that says that a 4 percent inflation rate makes a lot of sense, I think, is pretty strong.”
02 / belief
“I would say, maybe, that it’s just be interested in a lot of things, but when you find something that really grabs your attention, work at it seriously.”
03 / belief
“There’s some of that. Although, actually, I would say that I remember New York 40 years ago.”
04 / commitment
“One might hope that in the 23rd century or something, that we’ve actually gotten to the point where we will give, we will share our knowledge with the aliens out of our goodness, and they will do the reverse.”
05 / evaluation
“On the other hand, not allowing anybody in is, from a global welfare point of view, is a terrible thing because one of the best ways to improve people’s lives is to give them a chance to move to a place where they’re more productive.”
06 / prediction
“At the moment, college degrees still carry a significant wage premium. But there is a question in many ways, in the longer run — I think I did say that — a lot of the things we think of as being high skill, requiring lots of education, are actually the kinds of things that computers can, in the end, do.”
07 / evaluation
“I will say, it is crazy that you have a city that is so dependent on public transportation, and yet the public transportation is not actually under the city’s control and has clearly been massively neglected.”
08 / recommendation
“One of the principles I think about all the time with the Times is, nobody has to read your column, so you have to have a hook at the beginning, and you have to have a zinger at the end.”
09 / prediction
“I think that the secular stagnation–type stories, the stories that say that, with falling population growth, we have a hard time generating enough investment demand to use the desired savings, so that interest rates tend to be low even when times are good and tend to hit the zero-bound way too often, is a good story.”
10 / preference
“I think the use of iconography, of just the way things look in Star Wars is a lot more interesting, but the social speculation in Star Trek is more interesting.”
11 / recommendation
“That sounds like something that would work. But in many ways, I think what we really need to do, if we can, is to recreate the kind of society that supported a more reasonable political process, which means reducing income inequality.”
12 / evaluation
“The point is that, for the most part, voters don’t care because they’ve become so polarized that, really in a lot of places, as long as the guy is a Republican, it doesn’t matter what he says.”
13 / evaluation
“Oh yeah, except that what I would say is that at this point, don’t do what I did, which was very heavily theory-oriented, simple models, because there’s always a possibility of that, but now we are in this golden age of empirical work.”
14 / evaluation
“We used to have two dimensions in American politics, one of which was race — this is what the political science modelers tell us — one of which was race, the other of which was essentially left/right on economics.”