01 / prediction
]of predicting stability of countries based on past stability, which to me is absurd because the metric would tell you that Saudi Arabia, when you’re right at the black swan actually, I came here, I told him.
“]of predicting stability of countries based on past stability, which to me is absurd because the metric would tell you that Saudi Arabia, when you’re right at the black swan actually, I came here, I told him.”
- Speaker
- Nassim Nicholas Taleb
- Episode
- Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Self-Education and Doing the Math (Plus special guest Bryan Caplan)
- Publisher
- Conversations with Tyler