Public evidence record
Published podcast speaker
Claim ledger
12 transcript-backed records
01 / belief
“I think the answer is the same, Tyler. The interest rate at which the Federal Reserve has been crediting reserve balances held by the commercial banks is super, super low.”
02 / belief
“By the time I’d done economics at a graduate level for a couple of years in England, then I said, “Well, this is really more interesting than what I think my lawyer friends do, and so I’m going to stick with it.”
03 / belief
“I would love to have done that, but I wasn’t good enough. I understand he was mighty good, so I would say if anything, he was underrated.”
04 / recommendation
“Timur Kuran’s book, I think, is the key one on that, but many other people — my colleague, Noah Feldman at Harvard — have views of all of this as well.”
05 / evaluation
“I would argue that what makes room for these people to come to societies where they are not indigenous, and to do well, and to do well in ways that integrate them in the society, is precisely the feature of economic growth.”
06 / evaluation
“Taiwan is somewhat larger, I know, but it’s a very special situation because of its fear of the Chinese.”
07 / prediction
“I think just about all religions have a kind of militancy to them in their initial phases.”
08 / evaluation
“As much praise as he received, I think he’s one of the most underrated people I’ve ever known.”
09 / evaluation
“Now, as I was saying a minute ago, 20 years ago when I wrote that book, the data gave me much more reason to be optimistic than I am — at least for the short run — now about low-income countries’ democratic prospects.”
10 / prediction
“I think the empirical basis for the argument that I made — you’re going back now 30-odd years ago — is no longer there.”
11 / prediction
“I have persuaded myself that the greatest economic challenge… or to put it the other way, the greatest societal challenge we will be facing over the next generation that stems from the economic sphere is going to come from our increasing reliance on robots and AI.”
12 / recommendation
“Now, if I can put in a plug for a policy idea, this is why I have been recommending to anybody who will listen that this is a great time for the United States Treasury to lengthen out the maturity of the US government’s outstanding debt.”