Public evidence record
Published podcast speaker
Claim ledger
4 transcript-backed records
01 / prediction
“I expect open weight developers to be the first to have to adopt this because they have fewer options.”
02 / prediction
“security where a lot of legitimate use cases that are ultimately making these companies money through coding agents look very similar to the kinds of offensive or at least dual use cyber capabilities. So there, you do need more precision, but I expect developers are going to be tempted to give themselves quite a sort of wide berth around the areas that they don't have too much economic value behind and lean on trusted access programs for people the small set of people that do need access to those kinds of capabilities.”
03 / prediction
“There's kind of all this stuff that AI could enable that's really good for the defender. But when it comes to something like bio, I don't think that we are going to be able to use AI to rewrite the human genome to be robust to viruses.”
04 / prediction
“And I always struggle a little bit operationalizing question, but I'm probably somewhere near 10% existential risk in the next few decades from AI. And and I think that we could probably get that down to something like 1% without any major research breakthroughs, just iterating and refining what we already have and taking a sort of careful engineering approach to systems and having good safety cultures at companies.”