High Signal Podcasts Evidence ledger
Method
Browse
← Back to evidence

Evidence receipt / prediction

Published · transcript-backed

Sam Altman: prediction

5 Nov 2025 Conversations with Tyler Sam Altman on Trust, Persuasion, and the Future of Intelligence - Live at the Progress Conference

“I was going to say, I don’t want to say GPT, whether it’s 6 or 7, but I think we will get to something where you will say, “This is not a long way to the very best, but this is like a real poet’s okay poem.”

— Sam Altman

Source trail

Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Sam Altman
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
prediction
Recorded
5 Nov 2025
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

Transcript context

…Not that good. It’s not what I want it for, so that’s not a complaint. My guess is, in a year, you’ll have some model that can write a poem as good as the median Pablo Neruda poem, but not the best. I was going to say, I don’t want to say GPT, whether it’s 6 or 7, but I think we will get to something where you will say, “This is not a long way to the very best, but this is like a real poet’s okay poem. ” In my view, there’s a big gap between a Neruda poem that’s a 7 on a scale of 1 to 10 and one that’s a 10. I’m not sure you’ll ever reach the 10. I think you’ll reach the 8.8 within a few years.…

Stored transcript either side of the excerpt. The highlighted words are the published quote; the surrounding text is unedited source, never generated.

Search evidence