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Nate Silver: evaluation

21 Aug 2024 Conversations with Tyler Nate Silver on Risk-takers, Politicians, and Poker Players

“When you’re playing a poker tournament, everything is contingent because the tournament could last five more days or five more minutes.”

— Nate Silver

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Everything needed to verify it.

Speaker
Nate Silver
Attribution
Verified speaker
Claim type
evaluation
Recorded
21 Aug 2024
Publisher
Conversations with Tyler

Transcript context

…So, you don’t think you have that much status quo bias? I’m sure I do, but look, I’ve done a lot of different things, and I’ve bounced around quite a bit. I’m inherently restless. Some of the common personality flaws that . . . “Flaws” is a jaded, loaded word. Some of the common personality traits a lot of people have, I think maybe poker players over-index a little bit toward the other way. Poker players are pretty good at going with the flow. When you’re playing a poker tournament, everything is contingent because the tournament could last five more days or five more minutes. So, you’re like, “Yes, I’ll go to dinner with you, conditional on being knocked out of the tournament, and not entering this other tournament,” and x and y, and z. You’re very used to dealing with different stressors and contingencies and things like that. I think that’s somewhat unusual. If you’re very restless, does that seem to you like a bias in your decisions that you want to counteract with nudges, or something you should double down on? I would say you should double down on it, but what’s your view?…

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