Evidence receipt / belief
Published · transcript-backedGary Marcus: belief
24 Jun 2025 Machine Learning Street Talk Three Red Lines We're About to Cross Toward AGI (Daniel Kokotajlo, Gary Marcus, Dan Hendrycks)
“I think the notion of a durable advantage in LLMs, if that's what the technology is, is a myth.”
Source trail
Everything needed to verify it.
- Speaker
- Gary Marcus
- Attribution
- Verified speaker
- Claim type
- belief
- Recorded
- 24 Jun 2025
- Publisher
- Machine Learning Street Talk
Transcript context
…So I'm I'm somewhat more optimistic about, increased transparency and more situational awareness from from governments. A reason for that is I think it's incentive compatible for The US to be more transparent about what's going on at the frontier because China already knows. Meanwhile, for PLA or People's Liberation Army developments, there's somewhat less transparency there. So the people to gain more from information would probably be the rest of the world. So China has somewhat more of an advantage there and this sort of levels things. And having high transparency into the frontier is very useful for making more credible, deterrents. Because then Can I for a second about a time frame question? I think the notion of a durable advantage in LLMs, if that's what the technology is, is a myth. Like if we stay on LLMs nothing's going to be durable. But I think you think about these things in a little bit different way than I do. I think with the current paradigm, I am expecting them to continue to leapfrog each other.…
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